Quote from Gcapman:
The charts and candlesticks for the Euro spot and futures appear pretty much identical.....
I've never traded fx futures before but what you are telling me (or at least I am asking) is that the pip spread has never gone ballistic? It has never been 15-20 pips spreads on fx futures?
I would be very interested in knowing the pip spread action on fx futures - whether it stays a consistent spread or jumps just as the spot fx spreads do
Thanks
All you need to know is that when trading FX futures all trades are streamed with quotes. You'll never see this on 99.9% of FX Spot brokers, and even if you did unless it was a regulated or self audited broker, it would be useless and unreliable.
Let me explain, you can and probably should effectively ignore the quotes on FX futures when it comes to evaluating the market value of an FX contract. Because actual trades are streamed in real-time, you know for a fact that the currency pair traded at that price, and at that volume. Obviously the more volume there is, such as in liquid pairs, you more certain you can be that the exchange rate is fair at that print.
If there is a spike, it is only because someone actually wanted to trade at that price. There is no other way for the price to jump unless there is a trade.
Do not confuse this with quotes. Market makers and traders can quote whatever the hell they want, they can send orders far outside the last trade. But you have the actual trades, along with sizes of each trade, to tell you whether the quotes you're seeing are reasonable.
As for the prices of pairs jumping around in futures, this happens for reasonable reasons, that are not due to a broker jacking you around. Now it's a tricky thing because FX futures are tracking spot rates, for all intents and purposes, what's being traded over EBS. So if you see a trade that is wildly far from the last one on the CME, either two parties actually agreed to trade at that price, meaning it's not a broker yanking you around, or it is a bad tick from the exchange, or a busted trade or an error on your data vendor's part.
As for your spot feed matching the futures feed, they should be very close, but they are definitely not going to match tick for tick. It can vary quite a bit depending on the spot broker, especially for brokers who only offer fixed spreads. There are no fixed spreads with futures, and there is an order book that is visible to all traders (who pay for the L2 data).
Hope that helps.