$100 contest- Where will S&P be on 7/2/2012

Quote from shortie:

atticus, you can certainly file in 2011 (but have to submit your number first)















and you can always send in an adjusted return later :)
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1379 SPX cash.
 
Some stats from the results.



Average guess = 1332.6
Minimum= 666
Maximum= 1750


July 2nd 2011 SPX cash close 1339

So the average from the guesses indicates that the close will be roughly the same place in a year (July 2nd 2012). We shall see.
 

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actually (in math terms) if you make a poll like this always the average will be near today's levels because people will take today's level as reference and some optimistic by nature will add some points and some pessimistic will take some points, if you polled enough people then you will have 50% and 50% will all the profiles the exaggerates and the not-so and you will have an average near today's levels
 
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