10% more and NQ will be higher than 2007

Amazing the head start NQ has over all other indexes, namely S&P and DJI.

IT only needs a 10% rise to surpass the 2007 high !

chart.ashx



a perspective from http://www.etfdigest.com/davedaily

Markets were down hard early today only to reverse course with more style than even yesterday’s “stick save”. Most observers were at a loss to explain the rebound with one saying: “It has paid to buy pullbacks, since the market has done pretty well.” Duh! He continued to comment when Greek troubles came up and answered: “It’s like high oil prices, some days you walk in and it doesn’t matter.” Whew! I’m not worried now.

The bottom line remains Fed monetary policy and the after effects of bailouts, also known as “the punchbowl” are still the bull’s motivation. While this is still in place trading desks know what to do—ignore bad news, cherry pick good news and buy. So, move along cowboy, nothing to see here.

Volume did increase on an up day for a change and breadth was positive especially on the NASDAQ per WSJ data below.

The last time I saw rallies this powerful and sustainable was during the dot.com boom. Then, all technical indicators and common sense were blown away. The housing bubble that followed shared the same common stimulus, the Fed and other government policies. In this environment logic and even lengthy experience must give way to the tape. The one true thing remains unreasonably low interest rates and the after effects of bailouts and other stimulants. The trading desks are on crack and having a great time. Other institutions with captive assets generating fees are content and 401K assets are performing well making consumers feel better. This is the intent. What will follow is something truly ugly, but until then, party on dudes!

In after hours trading per MarketWatch you can see how poorly some big names are doing after reporting earnings. This bodes poorly for tomorrow but was the same look and worse last night for other companies.
 
NDX high 4714.
Why anyone would think NDX at 2045, holding for 10 years is a bubble is beyond me...bubbles mean inflated assets, not just that it rallied.

If the markets dropped 90% tomorrow due to a fake nuclear attack scare, and then rallied all the way back the next few months, is it a bubble?
 
markets need growth to go higher. fundamental growth or could be like japan 20 years market is flat... no reason to go higher...or GM stock or msft stock...there limited growth to large cap or 'mature' companies. law of large numbers .....the bigger the company the harder it grows...stick with value or dividend stocks. stocks that have no or low growth must pay dividend or no reason to own it. apple,rimm,gogle was a growth stock in 2003..but google ,apple,rimm is not a growth stock anymore. the market caps and size of these companies makes harder to grow..they've saturated their market. limited market growth going forward.



Quote from noddyboy:

NDX high 4714.
Why anyone would think NDX at 2045, holding for 10 years is a bubble is beyond me...bubbles mean inflated assets, not just that it rallied.

If the markets dropped 90% tomorrow due to a fake nuclear attack scare, and then rallied all the way back the next few months, is it a bubble?
 
Quote from financialmarket:

markets need growth to go higher. fundamental growth or could be like japan 20 years market is flat... no reason to go higher...or GM stock or msft stock...there limited growth to large cap or 'mature' companies. law of large numbers .....the bigger the company the harder it grows...stick with value or dividend stocks. stocks that have no growth must pay dividend or no reason to own it. don't bother with existing or old companies if you want growth.

I am not long NDX...just don't think it is a bubble.
 
Top 10 Holdings


Company Name % of Total Portfolio Dollar Value (in thousands)

Apple Inc 15.38% $3,217,096.12
Microsoft Corp 5.24% $1,096,071.76
Google Inc 4.66% $974,750.84
Qualcomm Inc 4.42% $924,549.08
Oracle Corp 3.08% $644,255.92
Cisco Systems Inc 2.99% $625,430.26


...:cool: ...
 
Quote from nazzdack:

Just like 1999, a "small" number of "large" issues dominate the index! :eek: :D :confused:

The fine print is always good for some surprises. Goldman customer's are accustomed to mega surprises....:cool: :D
 
Quote from salvador90:

Amazing the head start NQ has over all other indexes, namely S&P and DJI.

IT only needs a 10% rise to surpass the 2007 high !


It seems quite undervalued at this level. Most of the companies in the index are projected to earn more in 2010 and 1011 than they did in 2007, many of them double and triple their 2007 earnings.
 
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