The UK seems desperate now to avoid a credit downgrade spreading around the EU (Spain and Greece) after total meltdowns in Ireland, and Iceland last year. Desperation leads to frantic politics, especially with an election around the corner, which they are still expected to lose.
As expected, UK PM Brown and Treasury Darling are really socking it to the bankers, to deflect voter anger when they start to seriously cut spending to avoid a budget catastrophe over the next 6 months going into their election (with weakness). They are in worse shape fiscally than we are in the US and their banks are not paying back bank bailouts the way our banks are in the US. Their move for the bank bonus tax is not that unexpected considering their dire political circumstances.
I expect UK-based banks to counter that move by not paying year-end bonuses to avoid the onerous 50% bonus tax, which is probably the intention of the government too. This dampens down voter anger. But the downside is it will reduce tax revenues further, since without bonus payments, the government also wonât collect the regular income tax revenues on regular annual banker bonuses (which are probably already in their budget too).
Back on our side of the pond, our New York Dem. Governor Patterson understands the clear message stated in our Petition
http://www.rallycongress.com/greentradertax-traders-association1/, to allow for regular bonus payments so the government can collect their regular share of income tax revenues. The NYS and city budget includes millions of dollars in spending, which was approved based on the expectation of collecting income taxes based on higher Wall Street compensation. Wall Street supports NYC and NYS. Not having bonus-related tax collections because of no profits is one thing, but government officialsâ stopping these bonuses to please angry voters is irresponsible. Government leadership calls for calming angry constituents with reason, and not just placating them by cutting off bankers heads.
Kudos to Gov. Patterson for doing what we asked for, to have leading NYS and NYC government officials publicly thank Wall Street and defend them from populist outrage
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12/10/nyregion/10paterson.html?_r=1. The NYS Congressman Rep. Mike McMahon (D-N.Y.) (and Maloney D-NY and an IL Congressman too) also did this same thing first last week in saying the financial-transaction tax was a bad idea. Senator Chuck Schumer has said no to the transaction tax but not in his usual forceful and compelling voice. We need him to scream it from the top of the Empire State building like King Kong. Same goes for Senators from IL too.
Itâs time to choose which side you are on, to paraphrase the call from the left in the media this past week. Either you support America and our leadership in financial services or you donât.
I know our VP Joe Biden also supports financial services because through his hard work as Senator of Delaware the credit card industry moved to DE to be protected by his favorable DE laws.
Back to the UK side of the pond. Tory PM Candidate Cameron said okay to the banker bonus tax, so this is really out of control in the UK. As the UK suffers through the winter of recession, they just couldnât have bonus boys and girls partying all night in London, while others freeze through cold winter nights. I guess I understand. The main thing is for the Tories to retreat from this battle and win the war, the early 2010 elections.
Sorry to say, but itâs coming down to raw politics and regime change in the UK and US. We need the Tories to win in the UK and say no to the French torch carriers of a financial-transaction tax and global sovereignty. The French dreamed up the EU and convinced the Germans and others to join. Of course French President Sarkozy is supporting PM Brown on this riot-act in todayâs WSJ
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704240504574585894254931438.html#articleTabs=article Now the French advocate global sovereignty on a new global tax to pay for climate control and much more. Once you pass a small tax, it can only grow along with global sovereignty.
For this reason, itâs now clear to me that our best hope in America is for regime change too, for Republicans to take back control of Congress in 2010, and the Presidency in 2012. The progressive Democratic agenda has a fire in its belly and the media will pile on. The financial-transaction tax will continue its hot media pace through next year and we will all spend countless days and nights trying to put out those fires. I donât trust Congressional leadership (Pelosi, Hoyer, and Reid) because they have punted to global consensus throughout this fight and they probably will fall in lock-step with the Euros later on too.
Hopefully, Secretary Geithner can fight off the progressive Democrats and not make regime change a strict requirement (for those that like to lean Democrat). Letâs see how strong he is over the next 6 months. While President Obama prances around the world to collect his European medals and make speeches of global cooperation, I hope he does not lose sight of Americaâs interests. Thereâs an old Jewish banker family saying in the UK â which I read in books about the famous Rothschild and Warburg banking families - âlook British, sound British, but think Yiddish.â Well, just replace that last word with think American!