Quote from Cesko:
I am far away from being wild-eyed optimist but if I think about potential ramnification of trans.tax I can't see it happening. I am in Chicago and I can't imagine impact on this town's number one(so to speak) industry "futures trading". What would prevent Eurex from offering practically the same products like all the highly successful CME products less trans. tax? Would authorities then prevent U.S. citizens from trading foreign futures contracts to make U.S. futures "viable' somehow?? Theoretically they can do that but from point of view of international trade it would be politically very damaging and probably illegal.
Argument against this might be the case of online poker. Americans lost all the legal cases in this matter at WTO court. (American bureaucrats don't give a shit anyway, by the way). But in case of futures it would be much more difficult and damaging.
Another lesson from online poker. YOU CAN STILL PLAY!!!!!
If they pass this tax, trading on Eurex will not help us living in US. They would charge us the same tax regardless of where the exchange is.
Anaconda mentioned earlier why big companies might welcome this tax.
If this tax get more traction our fate will depend on whether exchanges and large retail brokers like TD will decide to fight it.