Quote from hoffmanw:
In 2007, China imposed a 0.3% stamp tax on stock purchase. Its stock market shrank 50% afterward. In Sweden, 60% trade volume were gone after the government imposed a transaction tax. Their markets had not recovered until the taxes were scraped. If US did the same thing, its stock market probably will shrink by at least 50%.
Yes, it would, and I guarantee you the day this tax gets past, <b>none of my clients will be invested in anything but annuities.</b>
It's not just you I want to address, but my statements at
http://www.advisorworld.com/2009/02/18/the-real-threat-to-americas-economic-survival/ about this tax, are that it is the real threat to America's economic survival. 50% wouldn't cover how unattractive equities would become in this situation. While they will always be priced rationally, this tax would remove so much liquidity that our volumes overnight would probably be less than half of what you see today.
Far from trader's being a so-called "non-productive" unit, trader's liquidity is the reason that stocks have been less volatile since the decimalization of the stock market. If you ask me, we had this tax once before. It was called 0.06 per share commissions charged to most customers for even placing one stock trade.
These transaction costs were so high that they actually prevented securities from being perfectly priced. The economic distortion of such a transaction tax would be devestating to every part of modern financial markets. Overnight, everyone should just take their money out, and put it in a CD, annuity, or savings account, and/or money market. I would wait years before ever getting my clients back in.
It's no secret everyone should hit "sell, sell,sell" if this transaction tax passes. It'll be a near perfect arbitrage, too. Sell probably with a herd, and watch as the market crashes 50%. Wait two years, then get back in before they realize the catastrophic mistake they made. I can already see it coming, but it does not look like this will pass.
These reps should <b>all be voted out of office for high treason to the American Capitalist System....every single one of them.</b>
Rep Braley, Bruce L. [IA-1] - 4/2/2009 Rep Capuano, Michael E. [MA-8] - 2/13/2009
Rep DeLauro, Rosa L. [CT-3] - 2/13/2009 Rep Edwards, Donna F. [MD-4] - 2/13/2009
Rep Kaptur, Marcy [OH-9] - 3/12/2009 Rep Lee, Barbara [CA-9] - 2/26/2009
Rep Michaud, Michael H. [ME-2] - 4/2/2009 Rep Slaughter, Louise McIntosh [NY-28] - 3/12/2009
Rep Stark, Fortney Pete [CA-13] - 2/13/2009 Rep Sutton, Betty [OH-13] - 2/13/2009
Rep Welch, Peter [VT] - 2/13/2009 Rep Woolsey, Lynn C. [CA-6] - 2/26/2009
Rep Wu, David [OR-1] - 2/13/2009
These reps as well, both are just economically ignorant individuals duped into a lesson in financial stupidity:
Mr. DEFAZIO (for himself, Mr. WELCH, Ms. SUTTON, Mr. CAPUANO, Mr. WU, Mr. STARK, Ms. DELAURO, and Ms. EDWARDS of Maryland)