Quote from AAAintheBeltway:
You pose an interesting theoretical argument. If it is not that difficult to do 15% on a non-leveraged account, why couldn't one expect to be able to leverage up the results? We know the best futures traders in the business can't do it, at least not consistently. Is it simply a question of high leverage forcing them to use sub-optimal strategies to avoid ruinous drawdowns?
Quote from OldTrader:
Absolutely correct. Using leverage increases the potential return.
Quote from JimmyJam:
Your post speaks to the heart of the matter.
If as much time were spent studying the use of position sizing, margin and using leverage as is spent looking for the "holy grail" of entry signals a trader would begin to exploit the true power of futures trading.
JJ
Quote from Pekelo:
"... [1] Mind you, with Gnome we were discussing what should be the base when determining returns.
[2] Here is another approach, for the last time. We both trade ES, my capital is 10K, yours is 75K. We end up with the same 10K profit at year's end. Obviously, my return is 7.5 times as much (100%) as yours (14%) compared to the starting capital, but according to Gnome, we had the same return, because the face value should be counted. That is clearly silly.
[3] Face Value is only meaningful for determining what your leverage is. Not for your return...For example, if you use 1 ES contract for every 1.5K in your account, your leverage is 1:50
Quote from esnewbie:
Got it... it seems the best traders use price only w/o any indicators.
Thanks again!
Quote from osorico:
"... the topic of basis for percentage return...
Quote from woundedknee:
I understand moving from ledge to ledge but am curious then how you handle pullbacks in this transistion from ledge to ledge or do you simply treat the pullback as another, shorter, ledge? Would also like to know what timeframe you trade off of.
Quote from gnome:
There are 2 primary ways to calculate return... (1) percentage increase/decrease in capital... if capital is added or withdrawn, then a function is necessary, like NAV..., and (2) percentage increase/decrease relative to margin.
#1 is the more valid.
If you were boasting a good return, someone might ask, "How is the return calculated?", and "How much leveraged was used?"
