1:08PM, May 19/08, NDX Multiday Market Call! Sell anylong, and Go Short

Quote from xflat2186:

You never posted a single trade. Do you really expect people to take your calls seriously? You called tops in the NDX from 1925 all the way up to 2048 at least 1/2 a dozen or more. Then 3 different times you claimed to sell out your long until you finally got a reversal.

You're a joke

Just to say that I know that you know that what I do is real solid stuff. You are just playing a human game, and you know what the facts are.

Your stubborness may get you to never know how to time the market, and you would go to your grave without knowing if you continue to have your hard head and wrong attitude.

This is just a forum. I have nothing to gain, and you have nothing to gain either. So swallow your pride if you want to learn something new instead of going around and seeking a wrong that may not exist instead of focusing on the right which exists.
 
Quote from shortie:

today was my lucky day. i had decent luck with both shorts and longs. usually my mean-reversion stuff gets clobbered on a directional day like this, but today i actually escaped with some dough.

Any money gained is good money. It does not matter how you get it as long as you get it. Even if it gets to you rather than you getting it, it is considered as you got it.

I do not think it is luck, but I would rather bet that it is skill. No money is made in the market over a period of time based on luck. Anyone who make money above the market consistently has a skill. I am convinced about it, because more than 80% must be losing (murphy's law and max entropy at work).
 
Quote from MrDODGE:

Market goes up tomorrow :D

I do not care about whether it will go up or down. I care just about the TOP and the Bottom (gentlmen like to pick her top and bottom before engaging in a full position).

So tell me:

1. Will the low of today (monday) be taken tomorrow Tuesday,and if yes when during the day
2. Will the high of today (monday) be taken tomorrow Tuesday, and if yes when

Those are the questions that matter to me, and what should matter for any trader.

Notice that I am not only looking for the price, but the time as well.

Timing is everything, and RFT is the king of timing tops and bottom (RFT turning to a gentlemen who like to pick her tops and bottoms) :cool:
 
Hey Bulls,

NDX at 2026, and time is around 11:23AM as I type this.

Where do you think NDX is heading? It is up 17 points as I type this (which for the bulls is a big big day :D ). I hope you did not short in the afternoon yesterday. If you want to short in the future, you need to be quick and ahead of most people. She climb a wall of worry,and jumps the windows :D

RFT (God bless him and his good readers)
 
Quote from riskfreetrading:

The title tells it. NDX is now at 2048. This market call is multiday. The other markets calls I have made were for day traders (make profits in few minutes to 6.5 hours).

This market call is for the position trader (multi days to multi-weeks).

Your 'call' even if it turns out to be profitable serves absolutely no purpose except to serve your narcissim

Ok, so someone who piggybacks on your call makes money, how does that help them? They still know nothing about trading and are completely reliant on you

Post ANALYSIS and the THOUGHT-PROCESS behind your calls
 
Quote from Epiphany:

Your 'call' even if it turns out to be profitable serves absolutely no purpose except to serve your narcissim

Ok, so someone who piggybacks on your call makes money, how does that help them? They still know nothing about trading and are completely reliant on you

Post ANALYSIS and the THOUGHT-PROCESS behind your calls

Be more specific, the call he made for the top at 1925 in the NDX or the more than 1/2 a dozen other ones he made between there and the top.
 
Quote from Epiphany:

Your 'call' even if it turns out to be profitable serves absolutely no purpose except to serve your narcissim

Ok, so someone who piggybacks on your call makes money, how does that help them? They still know nothing about trading and are completely reliant on you

Post ANALYSIS and the THOUGHT-PROCESS behind your calls

I will start where I agree with you, and then I will respond to where I disagree.

1. It is true that I did not post the thought process behind the calls. You are not the first to raise this point, and i have already responded to it probably in the other threads (please check the latest thread I started ("How to kill Bulls: Watch me do it in real time" or something like that). I might have provided some of my analysis, but if some people post insults and ridicule, do not recognize market facts, do you think that a sane individual should post his analysis to obtain the calls especially when they are deadly accurate? In addition, if calls are very accurate do not you think that it is a strategic asset that I should consider as such?

Now the disagreements:

2. The calls are very useful to others (but the major point why I posted them is in point 3)
1. Make money from them
2. Take profits on a long position (when I issue a short), and take profits on a short when I issue a long call.
3. Posting them has shown that the majority of people will not believe the calls anyway. My calls are against the trend (but at the end), and it goes against the feeling and profits they may have when the market is going up. Remember the market shows the vote of the majority and rewards the minority. This thread is no different.

3. Now the major point: These calls consitute an experiment to show that one can pick tops and bottoms way beyond what is permitted by probability laws describing the market.

To demonstrate it, I had to generate market calls here at ET in a sufficiently large number to build a sample, to proof whether it is possible, and if yes whether it is due to luck or skill.

So there is a point in these calls (in addition to money making for others for free), and it is to ascertain whether it is humanly possible to time the tops and the bottoms of markets even at the 1-minute level, starting at the first time the top (bottom) is achieved. I do not know if you realize how difficult that is from a probabilitic sense (not only the top in price, but the top at the earliest time it is achieved). This problem is way more difficult that people even realize.

In addition this timing is not what one would expect (picking some indictors and following them). It is an analysis that took me years to develop, and reading a 1000 books of knowledge just in area of trading. (How many people have ever read 1000 books in all their life/).

My calls come at a point in time and price where the market has only one degree of freedom according to the analysis.

Any reader of my posts who follows logic, scientific analysis, and interested in making money or to discuss this further beyond what can be discussed in a public forum can send me a PM.
 
Quote from riskfreetrading:

Hey Bulls,

NDX at 2026, and time is around 11:23AM as I type this.

Where do you think NDX is heading? It is up 17 points as I type this (which for the bulls is a big big day :D ). I hope you did not short in the afternoon yesterday. If you want to short in the future, you need to be quick and ahead of most people. She climb a wall of worry,and jumps the windows :D

RFT (God bless him and his good readers)

out of the window she did jump. did i sense correctly that you were not very sure about this one?
 
Quote from shortie:

out of the window she did jump. did i sense correctly that you were not very sure about this one?

I did not feel any pleasure to give a market call to others (with the exception of intelligent and good people like you).. That is why I left it for the intelligent people to read between the lines or at least be alert to a window jump. Let us not count it as market call, but you read some of my mind correctly.
 
Quote from riskfreetrading:

Hey Bulls,

NDX at 2026, and time is around 11:23AM as I type this.

Where do you think NDX is heading? It is up 17 points as I type this (which for the bulls is a big big day :D ). I hope you did not short in the afternoon yesterday. If you want to short in the future, you need to be quick and ahead of most people. She climb a wall of worry,and jumps the windows :D

RFT (God bless him and his good readers)

Just for the record, this is a statement that the NDX is at 2026, not a call to go long or short at this time. Do not want RFT coming later lying how he made yet another successful call when we clearly see no call is made here.
 
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