0nly 4 times in 20 years!!! s$p closes above 5Day mov. avg 20 days in a row

The market has done this just 4 times in the last 20 years...
Take note of these numbers. That is one incredible fact....
Think today easily makes it 21 days...keep the markets juiced and this is what happens....you wouldn't get these kinds of moves without every country propping up their markets....




Talking Numbers By Lawrence Lewitinn

Something rare and potentially very dangerous is happening in the market right now. And if history is any indication, it could spell short-term pain..The S&P 500 has closed above its five-day moving average for 20 consecutive days. That has only happened just three times before in the last two decades.Now, here’s the sad part: Four weeks after each of one those streaks came to an end, the S&P 500 was down, for an average loss of 3 percent. That’s according to a recent study by Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at MKM Partners.What’s more, the S&P 500 has had just seven prior streaks above its five-day moving average lasting 18 days or more. And those, too, also averaged losses four and six weeks after ending. Does that mean there will be bad news for stocks soon?“The last time we saw a decline like we saw in October, which was about 9 percent, was back in September to November 2012,”Krinsky said. “To recover 12 percent off the lows took 49 trading days. We just rallied 12 percent off the lows in 19 trading days. So the ascent of the rally has been rather remarkable.”And because the five-day moving average is such a short-term indicator, the fact that the S&P 500 has remained above it for four weeks makes the rally so remarkable and unusual, he said..But with Thursday’s close at 2,039.33, the S&P 500 is extremely close to hitting an important level, according to Krinsky. “We’re pushing against a pretty good area of resistance around 2,040,” he said.If that resistance holds, heforesees the index returning towardan area between 1,970 and 1,980, roughly 3 percent lower from current prices.That’s not enough to worry Krinsky, however. “Nothing too concerning,” he said. “But risk/reward from this level seems to favor the downside.”
 
History is there to be broken. What's fed's been doing is to break the history and create a new one. You will keep seeing something unusual in the future. Maybe the stockmarket will go up for 500 points and down 500 points in one day because the computer has been doing every it can to lift the market, then weird thing happens every day.
 
On 1985-12-02 the $ndx closed above the sma5 for the 24th time in a row. Closed below it after that and proceeded to go higher for the next two weeks.
 
On 1985-12-02 the $ndx closed above the sma5 for the 24th time in a row. Closed below it after that and proceeded to go higher for the next two weeks.


Do you have a link or article to back that up???
I only know about the s$p having this feat...
 
No, i backtested it myself in Excel. I tried to attach the file but it didn't work out. You can download the data from Yahoo Finance for free or pm me an e-mail address, so i can send you the file.
 
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If anything, historical behavior looks short-term bullish against that conditional event.
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And here's S&P500 (^GSPC) since 50s... not quite as anomalous or recent a phenomenon as OP/article is promulgating.

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I do like to follow these records, but the other thing that really throws these records out of place is that the fed has been involved in this entire record from bottom to top so comparing today's markets to yesterday's markets is quite difficult in that 100% of this rally from 2009 is artificial ...federal reserve made from 2009 to today
 
I do like to follow these records, but the other thing that really throws these records out of place is that the fed has been involved in this entire record from bottom to top so comparing today's markets to yesterday's markets is quite difficult in that 100% of this rally from 2009 is artificial ...federal reserve made from 2009 to today
The close above the sma5 is not a good measure to predict a retracement. It's better to measure the number of days the market went without a close below a 20day low ie. Most of the time it doesnt exceed three months, so a Christmas rally is not out of the norm.
 
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