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very insightful and glad you're prepared

what are your best ideas to capitalize on a chinese collapse?

jim chanos (famous short seller of enron) is getting bearish on china. he highly values this piece of research from pivot capital: http://www.pivotcapital.com/reports/Chinas_Investment_Boom_the_Great_Leap_into_the_Unknown.pdf i've been in china recently and the consensus is growth and...

economics 101 rings a bell? if the dollar falls in value the foreign countries (rest of world) will see domestic (us) stuff cheaper, hence they will import more. for the us that means more production, exportations, jobs and foreign profits (foreign revenues rise when measured in dollars). it's...

with due respect, if you don't want to read the thread just skip it. I'm reading the thread at the moment, and the first idea makes perfect sense (fundamental sense because of mutual funds rebalancing) and there is academic literature about it. talon please continue I am interested :)

americans are selling the world/asia and getting their money back home. the world crashes.

No, GDP is 10/30/08

doesn't matter. clients lose money, they start again with fresh capital after a depression of 2-3 months...

i just buy when it falls and sell when it goes up

averages without standard deviation is useless, and it's still useless with standard deviation when you have fat tails, which is the case. this may not be a typical bear market

0.8 * 1 - 0.2 * 4 = 0 so no.

alpha is everything and the best measure of skill in a trader is the alpha on a weekly basis, according to monroe trout. (who has the highest weekly alpha is the best trader) most people are only bull market heros and think of themselves as financial genius until the bear market starts

i'm a proud trader and i say i'm a trader, then quote ayn rand regarding the noblest profession in the world and bla bla bla. people think i make lots of money and i'm boring, i don't for what they think

LOL i laughed so much with these pictures. that is a good funny site, although it is sad and bad for everyone (trader and common citizen) it is important to take it lightly and laugh from ourselves from time to time

This is not really Wall st. news is it?

probably it was a error (fat finger), someone sold 1000000000 instead of 10000 or something so they cancelled all transactions due to the error.

CONCLUSION: once you go green, you go bankrupt.

I appreciatte your frontality in answering my question, but CAGR means Compounded Annual Growth Rate for example you have 140.000 and you began 3 years ago with 100.000 then your CAGR would be (140/100)^(1/3) - 1 = 11.87%. If you don't know or rather not disclosure can you answer me only if you...

nicep ost

Can you tell me how long you trade and what's your track record? Thank you.