what if we take realized volatility of N period and compare with IV N days ago and do this for the entire data set, if on average HV < IV you will be better off as a premium seller over the long term right or wrong?
so the fed cut 75 base points based on false assumption. is it going to be all the way up from this point on? the market seems telling us the same? thoughts?
11) china will initiate a war against taiwan on limited scale towards the end of 2008. PLA will take over 2 small islands currently occupied by taiwanese. US will stay on the sideline during the conflict.
ok, i am going to learning this staff. but i need a confidence booster before I dive deep into this: did anyone actually make real money using hershey's methods to trade futures? what is this all about in it's simplest form?