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Using past data to model possible future price movement
this is a WHOLE different thing from what I'm talking about, it's another variable, however firms manipulateing assets, does exist and is very real and is a good subject to discuss about in a different post -
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Using past data to model possible future price movement
you have given me something to think about, however at the end of the day I am discussing economic theories, and everyone has their own opinion thank you -
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Using past data to model possible future price movement
Implied volatility pretty much, there is a chance for anything to happen, so the value of said event occuring is never equal to 0. "Priced in" is what allows these possibles to take place, as the market is a collection of independent variables, that effect the ultimate outcome. For example if... -
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Irregular events in markets
These are just a journal for my personal thoughts, you are subject to your own opinion on the matter -
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Using past data to model possible future price movement
Exactly it works until it doesn't, there is no true constant as any event has a chance of happening in the future. -
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Using past data to model possible future price movement
Most future price models that are created in this space, rely heavily on different variables seen in historic and current data. The past isn't always an indication of future results, as the stock market at it's core is pure randomness(basic explanation is everything is priced in, in this... -
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Irregular events in markets
(keep in mind there is no true constient "regular" event, just based off average movements at time) -
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Irregular events in markets
Base notes of irregular occuring events in assets and equities (this is not suppose to relate to any fundamental events affecting a said asset at said time, and is merely a technical concept of the relationship between events, whether irregular or "regular") 1: irregularities are not separate...