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His dropdowns are small because he only allocated 2-5% of his capital the trades yet still 20-50x his money. If anything, he is betting sub-optimally by Kelly and leaving money on the table. I am looking into this more closely. Yeah, he has lost money on some trades but if he can make a 10-50x...

I have no idea, it does sound too good to be true, yet we do have proof before our eyes. but I will be paying closer attention to the 0-day NDX options though.

look at this guy's post history https://old.reddit.com/user/Fausterion18/submitted/ Yeah, I know people can lie, but his method is obviously quite good, to say the least. His secret sauce is 0-day NDX calls. He buys them "out of money" an hour before the market close and then they cash settle...

Healthcare stocks are great. Tons of sick, obese Americans. Lots of $ from employers coughing up $ to pay for it all. Insurance is a great business, especially health insurance. Jack up those rates annually way higher than inflation.

It beat the average fund and probably most. Sure, nothing beats Rentec

the djia is a beast. it shows the power of having an index composed of only the best stocks and by periodically removing the weak ones. It does better than hedge funds, active mangers who have entire teams of PhDs making 7 figure trying to figure this stuff out.

Selling volatility. Works well most years.

Selling 3+ month straddles easy $. Inflated IV but little movement

Markets have gap risk on Sundays. You sell the straddle on the weekdays after the market close, usually an hour (after major companies have reported earnings). And cover the position before the open at either 7:30 AM or 6:30 (depending if there is news). The CPI is always released an hour before...

AFIK, the ES/NQ has not had an overnight swing of more than 1.5% since June 2022 . It stays within a .5% range from 6:00 PM (when afterhours trading stops) and 7:30 (market open). If there is data like CPI, then instead of 7:30, it would be 6:30. This is in part due to the overnight drift...

here is another one 100k to 700k .pages upon pages of ppl making tons of $. At this point I have $20k capital saved up for some option plays. These people are not quants so they have not possibly constructed mathematically sound strategies that have long term positive expected value and low...

that is what i am looking for. unfortunately, the IVs are astronomically high now

but as victor niederhoffer learned the hard way, that loss on the 10th time can really bite you in the ass

The OTM put strategy means you will bleed out on the weeks. months,years etc. in which the market does not crash. So you have to somehow engineer the strategy to keep the bankroll positive or only down a little during the interim. The market has memory so even if it recovers the IVs will remain...

https://old.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/ just pages upon pages of guys making anywhere from a couple hundred k to a millions of dollars with puts and risking little capital. People risking just 5-10k and making 200k+ more. Few people losing money. Yeah I know there is survivor bias and that...

it already reverse split

it does not work because: skew on OTM puts is too steep (this makes options decay too fast and too expensive) interest rates are too low (this makes stock more attractive) excluding 1987, the expected value of put buying strategy is negative . Because this method constantly loses money, there...

because Trump isn't going to balloon the deficit as previously feared

I got filled on PST 180-day LEAPS with only one cent of extrinsic value. Pretty amazing considering no one trades those options but me. You can get good fills on even the most thinly traded of options. Just keep moving it up a penny and it can sometimes help to wait awhile. The midpoint is...

ditto..I like to go 150+ days out. Everyone focuses on the 30-day ones but when the premiums are low it is very easy to get blown-out. 150+ day options when sold still decay fast and have much more wiggle room. One nice thing about long-dated option is that the IV falls as expiration nears. ATM...