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  1. Ferdinand

    What were some warning signs for the 2015 Swiss Franc disastrous event?

    I went from demo to live because of EUR/CHF. This is from memory so feel free to pick it apart but I think 1.5 was the big level at the time. Seeing this work (profiting from SNB intervention) amazed me. To me "intervention trade" meant trading on the side of the intervention. Looking back...
  2. Ferdinand

    I'm no longer at Tower Hill. I believe there are a couple firms kind of similar but most...

    I'm no longer at Tower Hill. I believe there are a couple firms kind of similar but most probably want some kind of deposit. I think a couple people went to Hold Brothers. I'm not really familiar but you could google and see what their site says. Good luck!
  3. Ferdinand

    Quality US Forex broker - Finra fee question

    Is there any consensus on a good US forex broker? I'm looking for basic stuff, doesn't go down, stops execute, etc etc. I have used Thinkorswim (terrible at the time), Alpari UK (terrible at the time), and Dukascopy (great, until they quit allowing US-based accounts).
  4. Ferdinand

    Big block at the offer

    I would say rather than volume drying up, the lack of volume is normal and the increase in volume was the anomaly. It looks like 12.00 was a more significant level, as it held for a couple months and then broke through on a huge volume spike. I think you've done a good job identifying...
  5. Ferdinand

    Starting out NOW

    Good luck to you. My advice would be start even smaller. If you have a system that is truly sustainable, what's the hurry? Start carefully and give it time to prove itself. There is a lot to be said about automated trading. Fills, how you are going to deal with drawdowns, planning the...
  6. Ferdinand

    Jim Cramer doesn’t beat the market

    I thought I would turn on cable tv and be told how to make millions trading.
  7. Ferdinand

    Support and Resistance is Random

    I see you've posted a lot of threads about "XXX doesn't work." Trading is really hard. Everyone knows where support and resistance are. That's why it gets gamey and frustrating around those levels. The elusive "edge" is in using your experience and skill as a trader -- not to trade it...
  8. Ferdinand

    How long did it take you to become consistently profitable?

    It took me 16 months to get consistently profitable. From there I have definitely had some 0 months but I rarely have a losing month and overall have been able to support myself from trading. But barely. I'm single and get by on very little. This is my 5th year, which is almost hard to...
  9. Ferdinand

    Has Day Trading Changed?

    My personal take is that HFT has taken a lot of the traditional daytrading potential. I try to trade for the "real" move. I want to be in something when it is moving with some intensity. So the huge majority of the time, HFT is to be avoided, not beat. So there is less opportunity for we...
  10. Ferdinand

    AVGO Fri 4/1

    I am looking for someone who trades similarly to me to talk with. Not necessarily profit from or get ideas from, just talk with. I love trading, I love talking about trading, and my normal friends are sick of it. I've worked at a prop firm for 5 years and I pay the bills this way. I'm not...
  11. Ferdinand

    After using this trading simulator I'm convinced technical analysis simply doesn't work

    That is a fun game. It seems like you can only trade off one price based on the daily chart, whereas live you can close out mid day, or close half your position, etc. Anyway the initial post seems to indicate that technical analysis should always provide an answer of what you should be doing...
  12. Ferdinand

    Jokes aside, what mistakes did this trader make?

    It's easy to be nasty and laugh at that guy but I feel for him. I'm guessing most of us, if honest, have been in SOME situation not all that dissimilar at some point. As eganon indicated, I would say based on that video the guy was too big for one. He just didn't seem that experienced. Also...
  13. Ferdinand

    bid/ask dilemma

    I always thought of it this way: Bidding: pro - you may get the lower price con - you may not get filled at all Taking the offer: pro - you get the stock con - you pay the higher price In other words, you pay more to insure your order is completed. I think this is more important on a very...
  14. Ferdinand

    Serious question: What makes a successful daytrader? Is it consistent daily wins, or more wins?

    I agree with what people are saying here about consistency vs gambling. If you are trying to have one hit and be done, that is gambling. If you want to trade for a living you have to be consistent on a larger timeframe. I think there are only two options for this: - small losses, outsized...
  15. Ferdinand

    Why journal?

    I see. I just log it and it shows the most recent posts, so I didn't see this was under "journals," so it didn't occur to me you meant on this board. I wouldn't journal here because of all the frustrations of putting stuff on the internet. I don't have the time or interest to sort through...
  16. Ferdinand

    Why journal?

    I kept a journal for a long time, mostly of reviewing my trades and notes going forward. Reviewing was helpful because sometimes with a little distance you see things differently. Notes going forward are good because after awhile I realized I was sometimes writing something very similar again...
  17. Ferdinand

    By day trading, is it really impossible to get a 3% return every day without fail?

    There are a number of reasons it doesn't make sense to aim for X per day. Not all days are equal. If the dow moves 300 points one day and 25 the next, why would I trade or make the same amount each day? You can plug in other variables but the principle is the same in my mind. Also, why would...
  18. Ferdinand

    Technical Analysis does not work, never did, never will

    Trading is hard. I don’t know what CL is. But you correctly identified a significant level. You will see a LOT that it breaks the level then runs the other way. Trying the break is fine and trying the reversal is fine. The trades after are too late imo. At that point, it’s over. The set...
  19. Ferdinand

    Technical Analysis does not work, never did, never will

    You don’t have to be a super genius and trade everything perfectly all the time. It only takes one trade to make your day. One day to make your week. Week to month. Month to year. You don’t have to know anything about what you’re trading. Yesterday BIDU made a big deal of trading down to...
  20. Ferdinand

    Why are so many people attracted to playing during earnings?

    I'm generally not able to trade the overall market, or a particular sector. I'm better at trading a particular stock. The most stocks are making unique moves during earnings, so I trade the most during earnings. I think a giant red herring in trading is thinking about making x per day. If...
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