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    Meltdown Lottery Tickets

    IMHO my goal is to get a position that exactly reflects my speculation on the market or prediction of future events. And, no more, as well as no less. IMHO the downside to options is they expire. And, IMHO, the market is in denial (not wrong, its never wrong, just in denial) and will resist...
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    Meltdown Lottery Tickets

    http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/trading/eligibleProducts.php lists for example IDEM exchange trades FTMIB MFIB MINI MIB30 (Italy) MEFF exchange trades IBX IBEX35 index (Spain) MONEP exchange trades FCE (CAC 40) (France) I may end up trading the index future, not the options. Still...
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    Meltdown Lottery Tickets

    Thanks guys. Yeah I am thinking Italy or Japan might be a bit further out, but just as inevitable as Spain. Can we think of more specific contracts, as well as options strategies. Eurex has futures and options on EURO STOXX 50®. As far as liquid contracts go, Nikkei 225, Topix, IBEX, CAC...
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    Meltdown Lottery Tickets

    What are some good options to speculate on global economic meltdown? What countries are most vulnerable? And then within that, what e.g. index options are fairly liquid. And then within that, what particular strategy, say a short bear ratio spread. For example, Spain might be about ripe...
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    anyone see the collapse of AAPL apr 85-95 today?

    I don't have a Reuters feed in my den, but AAPL was off to the races a whole trading day before the CSCO/AAPL story broke. And AAPL was already up several points before the analyst upgrades came out as far as I could see A LOT of people got some kind of good news long before I did. I already...
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    anyone see the collapse of AAPL apr 85-95 today?

    That was Tuesday Check out what happened on Wednesday! AAPL up 3.84%, huge volume. And no explanation. Until... after market hours, when it hit the newswire that Apple and Cisco had agreed to a compromise on the iPhone trademark. So somebody knew something alright, judging from the massive...
  7. L

    Why do you trade options?

    XEO is the European expiration version of OEX. SPX has XSP, but XSP is not European expiration, its mini. Is XEO the only European style broad based index options?
  8. L

    CME Housing Futures

    That is a pretty good explanation, but just to muddy the water, let's say you buy (long) a DJIA index future, and I go out and buy (long) the (properly weighted) actual basket of 30 underlying stocks. On the futures expiration date, I have more money than you, because I collect any dividends...
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    CME Housing Futures

    guy2 said "GIVE YOU the value". whitster said "TRACK the value". If we really want to argue about this, they need to use more specific verbs and provide examples. Of course for the DOW or S&P indices, they don't actually go out and buy the stock; for the CME Housing Futures nobody actually...
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    CME Housing Futures

    For a while now, Interactive Brokers lets you trade the CME housing derivatives. The 'ticker' symbols are in here http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/trading/exchanges.php?exch=globex&showcategories=&ib_entity=llc Anyone know where I can get graphs of these CME housing derivatives, price...
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    CME Housing Futures

    I think they just mean two or more sales ever historically. So I don't see a lag here. These guys have probably got more statistics and econometrics background than we do. They've been thinking about this for years. Why would it be in their interest to create a lame index?
  12. L

    CME Housing Futures

    Are you guys on the long or short side of those futures? Anyone trade the options-on-futures? I read that these contracts are not very liquid.
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    My Conclusions

    As should be evident, I have been doing my homework and reading books on options, and I have been seeking a mentor. As part of this process I asked some very reasonable, detailled questions about how the options market works, and tried to spice them up by pointing out the difficult conclusions...
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    My Conclusions

    Super excellent post with killer value. Keep it up luh3417! Your post is so insightful that everyone should quote it in full with every reply. I submit that the discerning reader of this thread will notice that very few of the technical issues I have raised were addressed at all. 75% of the...
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    CME Housing Futures

    Actually you guys are on to something. Low-end, midrange, and high-end housing markets behave quite differently. And as much as I wish there were an easy hedge for my house (ok, trailer), the fact is, the CME product does not handle the low/mid/high end housing stratification.
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    CME Housing Futures

    Pabst said this in October 2005, and again in May 2006. Now that the product launched and has been out for 6 weeks, has low volume, and IB won't touch it, we have to stop bullshitting about what should be, and try to explain what is. It appears that there is low volume (please correct me if...
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    CME Housing Futures

    As of mid-July, is it the case that: 1. IB doesn't offer this product 2. Volume is very low 3. Pabst was right (see above)
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    Newbie Questions

    I see. Can anyone think of a reason why you'd use QQQQ ETF instead of NQ index future then? Will investigate. I suppose they're liquid. I wonder if IB offers them and I wonder if I need any non-US-dollar accounts to trade them?
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    Newbie Questions

    Agree, many people think pork bellies when they hear the word futures. I think they're really missing out though, when it comes to index futures. Looks like Kospi, DD/DJ/YM, DAX, ER2, are also popular. Lemme see if IB offers those. Here it is, NQ, excellent, thanks! I assume the above are...
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    Newbie Questions

    I started with shorting ES from time to time as a hedge, but I want to expand. I'll keep reading the old posts but maybe someone can help. Index futures seem like an ideal instrument. Why would someone want to trade an index fund or ETF when there is a future available? The future would have...
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