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If there is a simple error that most laymen fall for, there is always a more sophisticated version of it that fools experts.

I want to thank Marketsurfer, Maverick74, Baron and all the other ET members for coming out to Mar-a-Lago and participating in the event. It was excellent!

I, Galileo Galilei, son of the late Vincenzio Galilei of Florence, aged seventy years, being brought personally to judgment, and kneeling before you, Most Eminent and Most Reverend Lords Cardinals, General Inquisitors of the Universal Christian Republic against heretical depravity, having before...

And whereas a book has since appeared published at Florence last year, the title of which showed that you were the author, which title is The Dialogue of Galileo Galilei, on the two principal Systems of the World the Ptolemaic and Copernican; and whereas the Holy Congregation has heard that, in...

But whereas, being pleased at that time to deal mildly with you, it was decreed in the Holy Congregation, held before his Holiness on the twenty-fifth day of February, 1616, that his Eminence the Lord Cardinal Bellarmirie should enjoin you to give up altogether the said false doctrine ; and if...

Whereas you, Galileo, son of the late Vincenzio Galilei, of Florence, aged 70 years, were denounced in 1615, to this Holy Office, for holding as true a false doctrine taught by many, namely, that the sun is immovable in the centre of the world, and that the earth moves, and also with a diurnal...

Oh, brother .... THERE ARE NO SUCH THINGS AS PREDICTIVE INDICTORS THAT ARE BASED ON HISTORICAL DATA ALONE!!!!! Unicorns in the enchanted forest, clouds in the sky that look like dog heads and the desert mirage that looks like an oasis. That is all to it. Cheers, MAESTRO

Ok, here are the rough calculations. Assuming that your average take was $1 a share per trade, your Drift should be as big as = sqrroot(2 * 2000 * 1 /pi) * 700 = $24,984. The fact that you have made 14 times more than the drift tells me that your trading has an undisputable edge compared to the...

You have completely missed the point, oh well ... May I suggest a K12 course on the Probabilities Theory?

Ok, I will contribute. Let’s do a mental experiment. I would flip a coin and decide whether I will be Long or Short one contract of ES for 1 point. If I lose 1 point or win 1 point I’ll exit and flip my coin again. So, assuming my coin is fair and I pay no commissions then I would expect...

Jem, do you really want to get the answers and understand the meaning of the questions you have asked, or those are simply rhetorical questions and you just wanted to state your beliefs?

I still believe that mean reversion methodology in general is the way to go. Of course, not a primitive and naïve one, but elaborate and smart. There are a lot of ways to set it up using synthetics as such that the fat tails do not blow it up. As a general approach I support it.

Well, I downloaded the book and read it in 30 minutes. That is how “big” the book is. It’s a joke. The price was “$0.00” on Amazon and I felt that I overpaid for it! Nobody will reimburse me for those 30 minutes of my life that I have wasted reading what at best could be described as a...

All jokes aside, I actually have verified that some astronomic events have definite correlation with the market swings. Too my astonishment, I have seen the correlation between certain market patterns and to corresponding astronomical events being more than 75% at times.

This article is all you need to understand in order to be educated on the subject. http://www.statsoft.com/textbook/time-series-analysis/#systematic

It has been discovered that the brain manufactures proteins that act like marijuana at specific receptors in the brain itself. This may lead to new marijuana-like drugs that are not harmful to our bodies. It has been shown that several small proteins, called peptides, from the brains of mice...

Ok, I am tired arguing. I see no point anymore. Read your own definition of technical analysis a few posts ago. Your refusal to see the difference renders my further explanations useless. Good luck, let TA be with you! Cheers, MAESTRO (done arguing)

I did in my thread "Intuition Amplifiers2" I even gave the exact algorithms and gauges to measure things like "Trader's Perception", Market Sentiment", Buying and Selling anxieties levels" etc. I used many types of the data streams that include, but not limited to: accumulation of Bid/Ask Prices...

That is the eternal question, isn’t it? :cool: Well, I have the answer to it. Read my thread called "Intuition Amplifier2" in the psychology forum. You should be able to understand it.

Of course there is! However, to answer your question properly I would need to resort to an analogy. I hope that you would understand this analogy not as a mocking statement, but as a true attempt to illustrate my point of view. Imagine that you are watching the arguing of a man with a woman...