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  1. Z

    Eur and ES spikes

    Yes, it was wasn't it? Now it makes you wonder whether I have a clue at all! Who knows....
  2. Z

    Eur and ES spikes

    Yes indeed it is quite clear that you are correct. Thank you for this interaction it has been a good learning experience for me. Rather than asking too many questions which have already been answered elsewhere, maybe better results come from a keep it simple stupid (KISS) approach? Trades which...
  3. Z

    Eur and ES spikes

    Out 69 even -3 ticks...European markets close. Back in 67 stop 66.
  4. Z

    Eur and ES spikes

    Hit market when 69.50 printed to get filled. Long at 69.75. STP 67.50. Filled 59 mins = 10.59 EST 09.59 exchange time.
  5. Z

    Eur and ES spikes

    If you're entering a trade near to the close of day, then is it not logical you are basing this on what you expect to happen at the next open? The only reason why you would enter short and hold overnight is if you were expecting a gap down and therefore do not consider you could get your trade...
  6. Z

    Eur and ES spikes

    Okay - as you can see my entry call at 11.37 never moved more than 3 ticks (0.75 pt) adverse to the fill at 75 and has now traded 80 several times. I can do four more of these and it wouldn't take me weeks. There is at least 1 trade on the ES for 3 points or more daily (with a high probability)...
  7. Z

    Eur and ES spikes

    Easy way to test this. How about you give us 5 trading calls with entry, stop, and target. Any liquid futures market of your choice. Limitations is that the move must be called within 3 minutes of the entry signal being generated, and give a "decent" number of points (say >3 on the ES or >15 on...
  8. Z

    Eur and ES spikes

    There's the rub. If you know what is going to happen and how to analyse it correctly, you can indeed place consistently profitable and accurate trades in anticipation of this. What you call "price action" is nothing more than what has happened in the past. This in itself does not give the...
  9. Z

    Eur and ES spikes

    How can you possibly learn to read it without understanding what creates price action and how prices are caused to move? Simple answer for newbies who wish to evaluate claims that price action can be read without any such understanding: ask to see the trading results of those who claim they...
  10. Z

    Eur and ES spikes

    If it were possible to predict on Thursday at the close that ES was biased to go down and Euro was biased to go up then it follows that the breakdown of the correlation was also predictable. If you don't know the answer, how can you speculate on whether it is worth knowing? Yes, one might be...
  11. Z

    Successful Trading and Compounding - On Steroids

    Will share once I spot something: generally not a good idea. If you spotted a true arb, would you publish it on the Internet or would you get as much as you could done before your counterparties got wise? If you found a temporary correlation or edge, publishing it could cause it to disappear...
  12. Z

    Eur and ES spikes

    Not a dumb question at all. Actually, a very good question. There is an answer, but it is not straightforward and requires understanding many concepts about how the market works. Finding the answer will tell you a lot about the current state of buyers and sellers. Okay, forget the correlation...
  13. Z

    ES Journal - 2012

    Here is my take. The market will not fall below 1360 during this cycle, we will make a low by next Wednesday which leads to new 52 week highs and 1425 within six weeks. A gap down at the NYSE open on Monday is an opportunity to look for buys. If you sell a lower open you will likely be squeezed...
  14. Z

    Successful Trading and Compounding - On Steroids

    If this is true then you have severely limited your context and will be playing most days as if they are the same when they are not. This is the root of many hit or miss approaches to the market; treating what appears to be similar on the surface as the same condition, when it is not the same...
  15. Z

    Successful Trading and Compounding - On Steroids

    That shows you don't understand the cycles in either market. Euro was weak and you should not have been buying there...AUD is ready to buy bigger picture but needed another test of the lows and you got caught in a sucker gap. You do not want to be chasing the market and entering at very...
  16. Z

    Day Trading Crude without indicators.

    So you've got me on ignore then? So you won't know that the oil market is going up. So sweet! :) Bit of (self) honesty wouldn't go amiss though. You're more interested in how you are perceived here and having an audience for your inaccurate drivel than you are in trading. Good luck making...
  17. Z

    Day Trading Crude without indicators.

    Lets reflect. I posted 235 points of live calls in a single session on CL this week. Provided annotated 10c range chart showing place on the chart when the calls were made. No feedback. I've given enough general information here to help anyone who is prepared to think for themselves and do some...
  18. Z

    Day Trading Crude without indicators.

    Are we trading the opening "breakout" long today and then selling the range breakout "short"? An A up and failed A C down whatever they call it? And you say that the head of one of the largest oil firms advises to trade that way? Perhaps you lot (ACD traders) are unintentionally providing the...
  19. Z

    Becoming an independent trader

    One of the most erudite informative and truthful posts I have seen on this board in a long time. I can recognize instantly that you get it. As you know trying to talk sense to newbie traders here is often like herding cats or trying to make water run uphill. Thankfully this thread has been...
  20. Z

    Becoming an independent trader

    A few brief points. Your first sentence is excellent and has 99% of your competition beat right out of the gate. Well done to you, keep this up, and be true to yourself. Don't ever compromise and start trading with an insufficiently tested / understood method just for the sake of having a...
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