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  1. M

    Bay Area Real Estate Market

    Remember that SoCal recently had 3000-4000 homes disappear from the market (fires). That leaves a lot of people with insurance money either throwing down big money on the current inventory of homes for sale, or tying up the time of the contractors that would typically build the new home...
  2. M

    Bay Area Real Estate Market

    Let's be clear, I would never, never, never live in Fresno All I said was that I would buy a house (i.e. a rent house) and rent it out to other people that lived there. For the price of one house in the Bay area I could buy two or three houses in other places (like Fresno) and rent them out...
  3. M

    Bay Area Real Estate Market

    101 will be fine in a couple of years, the problem is that Santa Rosa really isn't any cheaper. A house in Santa Rosa goes for at least $500K. If you want to live in the Russian River (which doesn't have a good road) you can find a house for about $300K, but the river can be very sketchy.
  4. M

    Bay Area Real Estate Market

    I live in Mill Valley and have a wonderful little apartment (600 sf)that costs me $1000 a month. I've thought very long and hard about purchasing a place (even put in a couple bids) because everyone around me is making tons of money. Here's my biggest issue: A condo the same size as my...
  5. M

    Anyone know about the markets of the late 40's

    Thank You agpilot, that's just the kind of useful information I was looking for. It does make sense that in the anticipation of the end of the war there were probably some pretty lofty beliefs (ie. high p/e ratios) of what the future would bring. Then when the war was over some reality set...
  6. M

    Anyone know about the markets of the late 40's

    I'm very curious about what was going on in the markets/business world from 1946-1950. This period saw a slow and steady gain in the major indices and a dramatic drop in PE ratios. I'm trying to understand the context by which PE ratios dropped so severely (higher earnings I suppose)...
  7. M

    Dow has 2 closes below the 5 day EMA

    I can think back to other times when the Naz and Dow were not trading in sync (as recently as a month ago), but other than Jan-Mar 2000 I don't think any of those periods were terribly significant.
  8. M

    Dow has 2 closes below the 5 day EMA

    That's the first time we've seen that in almost 2 months. Is this the start of a 100-300 point pull back, or just some pre earnings season jitters?
  9. M

    The Dow since 1915

    I don't really agree with Harry, but there are some wacky anomalies with the current Dow Jones and the Dow Jones from 1929-1933 that are hard to ignore. The thing that concerns me the most is something I just realized in the last couple months. Look at the attached chart (bear in mind that...
  10. M

    What happened to S/R?

    Certainly its a subjective art, but I have a definite S/R line around 1062 (on the NDX) that the market has totally ignored the past three days. Additionally the psychological barriers of 1000 and 1050 haven't meant much lately. I guess its just another lesson I'm learning. Sometimes...
  11. M

    What happened to S/R?

    It seems to me, that the recent support and resistance points have been irrelevant the last three days. What does this mean?
  12. M

    Is TA less profitable now?

    I think he means banks like Citibank that was near bankruptcy until it bet the whole wad on TA.
  13. M

    Is TA less profitable now?

    Damn, I guess I'm going to have to start learning how to program a Neural Network. I knew it was going to come to this sooner or later.
  14. M

    Is TA less profitable now?

    Good Points. I don't doubt what you are saying, but its hard for me to imagine what an extremely efficient market (if there is such a thing) is like. I suppose it would be something like Lumber contracts that have unbelievable moves followed by three weeks of dead calm. If what you're...
  15. M

    Margo's Swing Journal

    AWESOME!!!!!
  16. M

    Is TA less profitable now?

    I suppose that many academics have been testing TA verses the bull market for the last 20 years. I can easily see how someone that hasn't done a considerable amount of homework would have difficulty beating the results of general market during that period using TA. The last time we had a...
  17. M

    Ebay??

    True, true. If it wasn't such a good deal and I didn't have a friend (who lived near the car) that could go look the car over for me, I probably wouldn't have bought it. As it stands, its the best used car I've ever purchased. I guess I just got lucky.
  18. M

    Ebay??

    I bought a car on EBAY and saved $4500 dollars. It has done a tremendous job at opening up the secondary markets and potentially making everyone a dealer of used merchandise. This is the genius of EBAY because prior to its establishment you couldn't hope in a million years to sell your copy of...
  19. M

    What good do daytraders do to society?

    I'm curious if you guys think that tobacco companies, alcohol companies and credit card companies etc. etc. add to society. Certainly these companies pay taxes and provide good jobs for their employees, but are those good things outweighed by the sins (externalities) they inflict on society?
  20. M

    Profits, religion and politics

    I just want one losing religious Democrat to vote in. That's all I want.
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