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Next target is around 3930, and the second target will be about 4050. The index has been back and forth between these lines.

After deploying the wheat future prediction system to one large commodity importer, we have added the wheat trading to our business. The only prediction that we haven't traded is the Bitcoin. We prefer the wheat ETF over the futures to avoid the expiration issue. We don't use leverage anyway.

see my post, 15% so far.

Dudes, am I right here? The original MAGIC model also suggests a buy signal.

From the relative return viewpoint, the market is approaching the bottom and growth sees the sight of life.

Good for you. Then you should be better in predicting the spread.

Because you can't predict the market directions, but spread between different indices is relatively predictable.

First I make big picture predictions, then trade on much higher frequency on the same direction when the ratios cross certain resistant and support lines.

The best way is still doing pairs day trading

Seeking safety in the spread trading:

Stocks go from shaky to unhinged. Market is not at the bottom until we see rotation into growth, i.e. Long NQ and Short RTY.

May 3 was about flat.

What a timely timing:

I will test your approach with intraday data.

Over the weekend, I have also applied the similar methodologies of style rotation into Chinese market. It turns out the results are very good. Following chart shows the predictions on CSI 500 Index vs CSI 500 Index. It's also very interesting that when the prediction is to long CSI 500 Index...

And NQ, average about 100 points. Trading between 9:15am and 16pm: This chart has longer time horizon, and its predictions will also map to the faster predictions in the previous chart.

while predicting the directions of the market is very hard, I do manage to come up with the day trading tool to trade ES, gaining average 30 points in April.

And some sample predictions:

Another big down day! A good day for the long/short strategy based on style rotation and factor timing. The attached simple chart shows how I do the modelling.

I also like the pair of QQQ (TQQQ, SQQQ)-IWM(TNA, TZA) given that I can trade the pair in the retirement accounts which don't allow short. There are also e-mini, micro e-mini futures for automatic day trading.