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  1. tommcginnis

    what happens at tops and bottoms that doesn't happen within?

    1) My positions bleed. 2) My eyes cross. 3) My blood pressure spikes. 4) Appetite? Gone. 5) Telemarketers call. 6) I have to pee. Say, how many of these do you want? 7) My monitor chooses this moment to lose color rendering. 8) ...
  2. tommcginnis

    Is this possible and probable?

    I just looked at my ES graph (4hrs/1min), and there are no divergences to show you. :rolleyes: BUT THE BASIC IDEA is that movement in volumes tempers the mercurial outcomes displayed by the Lanes' Stochastic. (Okay, they're not the most flagrant I've seen, but.... ) The Stochastic from 1400 to...
  3. tommcginnis

    Removing the golden handcuffs

    Wow. That is just fantastic. And you! You must be so scared! And so proud! And so hopeful! And that whole *raft* of emotions that come with stepping out like this. Jeez. {head shaking....] Just fantastic. VERY BEST WISHES. And way big :thumbsup: for real, for real.
  4. tommcginnis

    Is this possible and probable?

    "Picking turns," eh? The theory behind the classic Lane's Stochastic (plotting the percentage of a candle/window-of-time in which the asset trades at that candle's highest) is that as a slower (longer-period) moving average catches up with a faster (shorter-period) moving average, the market...
  5. tommcginnis

    Trading Rules

    I'm sorry, but I can't read your ID without hearing the great Ralph Bellamy: "Winthorpe, ..." :D:D:D
  6. tommcginnis

    Spy put volume and open interest

    Wow! "Likes" are dropping like flies around here. :D raf -- good math -- and glad to see it. But if *you* want to review a few hours of video, and post *your* top-5 here, you would be *much* further ahead, and I (with my *own* work requirements) would be further along, too. rb7 -- "Good on...
  7. tommcginnis

    Spy put volume and open interest

    No. If 'the other side' held the contract already, they would be STC. Vol = 1. change-in-OI= 0. If 'the other side' STO, then Vol = 1, change in OI = 1. And, back to your OP, the put volume was singularly unique on the put side, but there were half-a-dozen call strikes in the neighborhood that...
  8. tommcginnis

    Spy put volume and open interest

    Properly done, this site should be a bunch of smart people looking for answers to questions, and a bunch of also-possibly smart people with answers who take the time to answer them. For myself, I look all over hither-and-yon to find the answers to questions I have. And these Interwebs have done...
  9. tommcginnis

    Spy put volume and open interest

    Knowing vector calculus equations is not essential to walking across a street, but if you don't know the fundamentals, you will get killed. No different with a myriad of detail in trading, whether it's how your mouse operates, or what it means to have the SECTreas tell a major trading partner...
  10. tommcginnis

    Spy put volume and open interest

    The ES and the SPX behave similarly to each other. I would have a problem believing that the SPY behaves any differently to them. Here is a shot of last night's closing puts and calls, volume and open interest, over 71 strikes from 2550 to 2900 inclusive. Since this is the ES, it includes the...
  11. tommcginnis

    Intraday volatility

    I just put the phrase technical analysis volatility intraday into a search engine, and came out with 8 gabillion results. (That's an 8, followed by :wtf::wtf::wtf:,:wtf::wtf::wtf:,:wtf::wtf::wtf:,:wtf::wtf::wtf: if you must know.) If you have a question after doing that, do post it! :D
  12. tommcginnis

    credit spreads.. the good, bad, ugly and dirty of them?

    I think there is a basic misconception presented, anytime that I see option positions (of any sort) discussed: position management. My stuff is constantly on a bubble, of shortening (I bought back whole above-market sides during yesterdays dip) and of lengthening (and sold a bunchy back to the...
  13. tommcginnis

    A basic question on CAPM

    http://people.stern.nyu.edu/ashapiro/courses/B01.231103/FFL09.pdf Got this from a 10 second search of the Interwebs, using this catchy thing called a Search Engine. I input the phrase, "CAPM practice problems" and found a whole world of stuff.
  14. tommcginnis

    Trading Rules

    Except that, a priori, we don't know what the market is doing -- we only know what pops up into our tiny little brains as a thought, "Heyyyy, look at that volume building! The market is going to turn right here, with the other side of the trade exhausting the trend!" Maybe yes. Maybe no. Could...
  15. tommcginnis

    how would you play it out

    Understanding you to mean by "DEMO" that you're just looking for things with which to experiment, consider: 1) selling the 2785. {"money in your pocket!"} 2) selling the 2765 {"but now, there's risk! $20-worth! IN FRONT of your call!"} 3) selling the 2675/2670 put spread, garnering ~50¢ -- same...
  16. tommcginnis

    credit spreads.. the good, bad, ugly and dirty of them?

    http://www.acrn-journals.eu/resources/201201a.pdf "Nice!"
  17. tommcginnis

    John Bollinger on the MACD circa 1996

    Found this in a 12-year-old email -- no idea where I got it, but it is a solid presentation. (It's also a bit blurry; it's from an ancient xerox.) While I'm not a huge fan of the MACD, I do think it holds a lot of merit -- especially for the longer term trades that I tend to avoid. One of the...
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