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  1. V

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    23350 on dec dow is probably a good place to short
  2. V

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    looking at a correction here of maybe 1% to 2%
  3. V

    Are we close to a seeing a massive stock market correction?

    Please redo calcs...500 point fall in dow at dow 23400 would be more than 2% (quick maths in head)
  4. V

    What would you say about a hedge fund that puts 40% of their capital in one stock?

    I think Buffet put 40 per cent of his fund into Amex or Washington post or coke or something years ago. Turned out pretty well. Is this hedge fund the same calibre as Buffett though?
  5. V

    Enough Selenium in Diet Decreases Fatal Prostate Cancer Chances

    A couple of Brazil nuts is enough.
  6. V

    Enough Selenium in Diet Decreases Fatal Prostate Cancer Chances

    Brazil nuts are mildly radioactive so don't go too nuts on them.
  7. V

    After the 1st leg up do you sell or hold?

    The 95% chance of something going higher than what it is now doesn't mean anything without an idea of how much higher.
  8. V

    After the 1st leg up do you sell or hold?

    I just read that thread...nowhere does it say how 95 or 90% probability was determined.
  9. V

    How do you get over the fear of increasing position size?

    Lol, if you have 90% chance of winning 1 and 10% chance of losing 1, the optimal fraction to bet aka Kelly is 80%, not 28%.
  10. V

    After the 1st leg up do you sell or hold?

    Well, it does matter since she might make only 1 when right 95 times but lose 100 when she's not right the other 5 times. Btw, to the OP, how do you figure you have a 95% probability of being right on a given trade? How do you know it's not 90%, or 80% or something else?
  11. V

    After the 1st leg up do you sell or hold?

    How is a US person constrained by FIFO? In the end, it doesn't make any difference to the overall p&l if you make a number of manoeuvres...maybe from a tax point of view...but that wouldn't apply to day trading.
  12. V

    After the 1st leg up do you sell or hold?

    If i think there is gonna be another 'leg' up, I would BUY more. If not, then i would sell. I find it interesting you haven't considered this option. Look, when you are right on something, you can't own enough (Soros/Druckenmiller). Presumably if you are wrong on something you want to own as...
  13. V

    Which users' posts have benefited you the most?

    oooh, what a cynical view!
  14. V

    Which users' posts have benefited you the most?

    @Visaria
  15. V

    Markets top imminent, or "melt-up"?

    Im looking for 3000 on s&p500 by the end of the year. Yeah, a melt up.
  16. V

    BTC ATH tonight. over $6000/btc!

    I suspect the US dollar is used far more for criminal activity than bitcoin is.
  17. V

    Lower Your High Blood Pressure In 5 Minutes With Zero Medication

    Why u shouting? I'm early forties and I lift weights...no running or cardio of any sort.
  18. V

    alternatives to us index futures

    um, yes they were. always have been.
  19. V

    Markets top imminent, or "melt-up"?

    You need to look at the net spec position as a percentage of open interest. If you do that, you'll see that the trade is NOT crowded at all.
  20. V

    Markets top imminent, or "melt-up"?

    I think the equity market will continue to move up and perhaps accelerate with perhaps the surprise duo outcome of an increase in volatility (normally vol decreases as markets move up)
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