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  1. tommcginnis

    Guidance for an undergrad...

    If you want salability (which is not a bad thing)... then hit the current crop of financial/portfolio/econ journals, and catch their primary tools. If you want to go where they *should* be going, conjoin linear algebra with mathematical biology/ecology -- things like population models...
  2. tommcginnis

    Return on Investment

    Reward follows from the risk undertaken. The reward 'standard' you're looking for follows from the risk that each input undertook to gain whatever measure of success was gained. That said, as a standard, the S&P500 is pretty.... standard. You could say "8.5% annual" for a lifetime standard...
  3. tommcginnis

    Looking to trade tech for intra-day futures data

    I don't know anything about these people, but they're local to you, and could probably burn/hand you data at a moment's notice, and make any changes needed, without a big deal. https://www.meetup.com/Option-Trading-Strategies/ (There may be others -- I just stopped when I hit them.)
  4. tommcginnis

    The intersection of prediction and risk management seems so contradictory, is it reconcilable?

    I always shop for new information. I remain *poised* to evaluate a'fresh, "de novo", at each instant of time. When pushed, I ask, "Would I take the same position now, were I not already in it?" These thoughts don't do so much to *reconcile* things, but perhaps to sharpen the contradiction. This...
  5. tommcginnis

    spreads, still can't find two answers on these questions..

    "Width-of-the-Spread, minus Credit-received" is a great starting point, and for most accounts will work fine with the SEC [Securities]. However, portfolio margining will look to tie things together in ways that "make sense" for your holdings, and may *free* or may *impinge* your margin capital...
  6. tommcginnis

    How Trump's 'Soviet-style' coal directive would upend power markets

    Awesome discussion, gentlemen. I have been 12 years out of the utility biz, and reading these arguments and updates has been a real refresher course. Really solid stuff, touching on all the Point/Counterpoint markers my cobwebbed brain could dredge up. Very nice. Kudos to all...
  7. tommcginnis

    Question about options

    No. Wrong. Grossly (or immorally) misleading. Income is revenue received from (in this example) putting capital to work as margin capital. That capital is now "at work" and is unavailable to pursue other worthy goals (excepting as margin capital for the other side of the same market, same...
  8. tommcginnis

    journal software recommendations please

    This one does it all, yet it is quite flexible. https://www.libreoffice.org/download/download/
  9. tommcginnis

    How Trump's 'Soviet-style' coal directive would upend power markets

    As a former electric utility economist (and focused on system planning/operations) (AND as a lifelong Republican, as if that matters in the least bit), you're out of your mind.
  10. tommcginnis

    Jeffry Dunyon - Safe Options Strategies

    Frikken marketing -- just an art that I *do not* get. This explains entirely why my own wonderful system, investing in Software, Health, Information, and Technology ...just could not get off the ground, when I tried to market it (logically) as "My S.H.I.T. System" It just went nowhere! Even...
  11. tommcginnis

    Machine learning -- classification or regression?

    Hey -- not to get all geeky or anything, but there is a material issue here, between regression and classification. Regression depends on the Central Limit Theorem -- the Gaussian/Normal Distribution of bell-shaped curve fame. Symmetric, defined deviation frequencies -- even its exceptions...
  12. tommcginnis

    Carnegie Mellon University makes its own crypto

    About time! I went up the road to Rochester, and the two schools share a lot of engineering and economics blood -- just the sort of thing that would be in the middle of blockchain technology. Yeah, see...
  13. tommcginnis

    Software to plot options against underlying over time

    The point is, there does not seem to be stuff out there to actually *use* in active trading, for the retail or smaller-fund world. The large guys ain't sharing, and there does not appear to be a viable market for a retail-level product to actually get paid. (There is a guy in Australia --...
  14. tommcginnis

    Software to plot options against underlying over time

    Maybe you should roll your own? This is from February -- six expiries of SPX data from a .csv scrape, calculated Gaussian P(ITM)s in front of market-declared deltas, and then calculated $5-$20 wide vertical spreads. Lastly, these spreads are filtered for some price range. The stated wish for a...
  15. tommcginnis

    How do I make money ?!

    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/how-do-i-make-money.321592/ https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/how-did-thus-loss-happen.321143/ etc etc. There is, I think, great wisdom in having a Ready! Fire! Aim! approach to life -- the same sort of thing that observes, "Don't let the Perfect...
  16. tommcginnis

    How do I make money ?!

    You are not ready, and will destroy your capital. Don't do it. LOTS to learn! Decide on your wage, and then EVERY DAY, make yourself a goal: "Did I learn my wage's worth today??" If you didn't, keep working. If you did, go find yourself a beer, come back, and continue working late. DO NOT go...
  17. tommcginnis

    Alternatives to Excel for tabular data? Minitab? Tableau?

    Sheeesh, man! My brain can't keep my A→Z, AA→AZ, BA→BZ in my poor head now! That'd be 26*3 = 78 columns. It's good to know (I guess) that I have 922 columns to spare. "Sweet!"
  18. tommcginnis

    Alternatives to Excel for tabular data? Minitab? Tableau?

    Yowser. That is *plenty* of horsepower for a good coupla' years. (Unless you live-stream anything -- then just put your dual-core i5 into your trading slot, and put the thoroughbred into the "Media & Other Sludge" spot. :confused:)
  19. tommcginnis

    Alternatives to Excel for tabular data? Minitab? Tableau?

    I looked again (just now) and didn't see anything. RTD, of course, is strickly MSExcel. There are other facilities, but you'd have to see how well they fit -- and the documentation is lacking, so you have to be willing to experiment. (FWIW, I have discovered things not-yet-documented, so there's...
  20. tommcginnis

    Things You Learn After 1 Year of Day Trading for a Living

    One year, huh? You've gone further than so many. "Good on ya!" :thumbsup::thumbsup:
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