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  1. M

    A free Trading System that guarantees at least 180% p.a.

    botpro, I promised I will help you... Here is my question. Assuming some static transaction costs (commissions plus bid/offer), can you estimate what your hedging breakeven point is? Specifically, suppose you have sold the put for a total of X premium. How many times can you perform the...
  2. M

    A free Trading System that guarantees at least 180% p.a.

    I agree... That was NOT cool.
  3. M

    What can I do about insider trading activity in stock options that cause financial harm?

    Isn't this "possible insider trading" one of the risks that you face when you sell short-dated OTM options? When picking pennies in front of the steamroller, you shouldn't be too surprised when occasionally you get flattened, no? Realistically, the issue is that it will probably be difficult...
  4. M

    A free Trading System that guarantees at least 180% p.a.

    Right, let me be serious here for a moment... What you seem to be missing here, botpro, is what someone with a modicum of brain matter should have considered by now. Specifically, ask yourself this question: why are people who have and are actually trading (unlike yourself, a "researcher")...
  5. M

    A free Trading System that guarantees at least 180% p.a.

    This sh1t just keeps getting better... Just when I thought we've reached the limit of awesomeness, botpro surprises again!
  6. M

    How difficult can be to find me a mentor as systematic trader?

    Read stuff by Ernie Chan, including his book. You can also find things if you search other online fora (e.g. NucPhy). In my experience, the odds of a paid online trading course actually offering value are quite low.
  7. M

    A free Trading System that guarantees at least 180% p.a.

    I never thought that I'd be able to witness the Dunning-Kruger effect in all of its glory, but, boy, was I wrong! This is special...
  8. M

    A free Trading System that guarantees at least 180% p.a.

    This is a priceless thread! Keep up the entertainment, botpro!
  9. M

    How do you know whether volatility will rise or fall in the future?

    Huh? You're telling me that PNL is irrelevant? That it has no impact on the position itself? I have a feeling that your broker might have a slightly different view of how things work...
  10. M

    How do you know whether volatility will rise or fall in the future?

    Good lord, you're so confused, man...
  11. M

    How do you know whether volatility will rise or fall in the future?

    Let me say it again... If you mark-to-market, volatility matters, regardless of the style of the options and whether one is a buyer or seller. Period.
  12. M

    How do you know whether volatility will rise or fall in the future?

    No, you're wrong... Think about it for a bit yourself and you might get it.
  13. M

    How do you know whether volatility will rise or fall in the future?

    Huh? What difference does it make whether the option is European or American? The development of volatility during the life of the option matters to sellers and buyers alike, regardless of the style of said option.
  14. M

    How do you know whether volatility will rise or fall in the future?

    Riiiight... Your PNL is based on the mark-to-mkt valuations of your options positions. These valuations are sensitive to levels of implied vol, to a lesser or greater degree. Again, think about the logic you have applied to determine that "development of volatility plays a role for the option...
  15. M

    How do you know whether volatility will rise or fall in the future?

    Well, let me ask you a couple of leading questions then... Do you care about mark-to-mkt, drawdown, that sort of thing? Does it make sense to you that a particular factor matters to the buyer of an option and not to the seller, given that these two mkt positions are reciprocal?
  16. M

    How do you know whether volatility will rise or fall in the future?

    You really should stop saying silly things...
  17. M

    Deutsch Bank

    The fun never stops at Douche Bank: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-14/deutsche-bank-found-systemic-failure-behind-russia-cash-flight
  18. M

    Is there any reason for not using the Greeks?

    However, assuming you did somehow choose the "optimal" expression, your PNL should undoubtedly reflect that. In the case where you get things wrong, it might help reduce your losses.
  19. M

    Why exactly did oil prices tank in 2015-2016?

    TBH, I appreciate this is a discussion of semantics. However, I note that neither the author of your first article nor yourself have any data to corroborate the statement that it's lease condensate that's solely responsible for the increase in world "crude oil" production. In fact, based on...
  20. M

    Why exactly did oil prices tank in 2015-2016?

    http://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/monthly/pdf/sec11_5.pdf No LNG, lease condensate, which is included, is a fraction of the total.
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