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  1. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    out +13 at 4030 from 4043. don't want to chase down further today.
  2. mervyn

    Who is really to blame for the war in Ukraine?

    This reads like NATO propaganda, I am old enough to remember a time like this. Russian may not win outright, a Korean solution to stop fighting.
  3. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    open and close.
  4. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    try connect the bodies, not the wicks.
  5. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Remain bearish in 1H, 3700-3800.
  6. mervyn

    Lessons for America

    https://www.huffpost.com/entry/im-irish-joe-biden-bbc-reporter_n_5fa71475c5b6f21920dc63f4
  7. mervyn

    Who is really to blame for the war in Ukraine?

    It does, and often repeated.
  8. mervyn

    Who is really to blame for the war in Ukraine?

    It underestimated NATO, and its military is a joke. Remember that 60 miles of tanks, where did they go?
  9. mervyn

    Lessons for America

    Unfortunately Ukraine’s rich history is not their own making. Lviv belongs to Poland and then Austria. Eastern part belongs to Russian empire. So history they can write, bloodline they don’t have.
  10. mervyn

    New business ideas for options brokerage firms

    The exchanges will not execute trade in fractions, remember the days when the quote is 1/32 or 1/16 spread. There are only handful of brokers allow you to buy fractions, and it’s not transferable.
  11. mervyn

    Lessons for America

    You call them satellites states, I see them as its allies under Warsaw pact. When history comes to push and shove, what remains at the core is its heritage. I don’t recall any bloodshed during its collapsing, everyone wants to take state properties into its pocket. Money is more important.
  12. mervyn

    Lessons for America

    No, in name only. Its western acquisitions were peeled but its territories east of Ural Mountains stayed put. Germany, Poland, Czech etc were never part of Russia anyway.
  13. mervyn

    Lessons for America

    Heritage is something you are born with, not what and how you are taught. Bloodline is important. What Americans lack, is a civilization. We got plenty of cultures going on, under a flag and a belief system.
  14. mervyn

    Lessons for America

    there is no unification of eu, it is a project, and it doesn’t work.
  15. mervyn

    New business ideas for options brokerage firms

    There is no “fractional share”. It is based on security lending program against someone else’s book. The exchange would not execute less than 1 share of stocks. Folks who don’t even have money to buy 1 share of stock post no systematic risk to the market.
  16. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    and i bought 5 figures 44 days t yesterday, sure I can make 4.525% maturing March 9.
  17. mervyn

    Debt Ceiling Fight 2023

    Doesn’t matter why China sold T, it was old data. The point is why they are selling T in the first place, among many assets they can sell, i.e., exporting more goods and services to other regions. Raising interest rate led to lower T price would be reasonable economic guess. Geopolitics could...
  18. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    Even if you believe that, even if. Who are the buyers? In typical run, China , Japan and Saudi are the top 3, adding Canada (if they are not buying US real estates). Now all the top 3 buyers are awol. Fed doesn’t have the balls or the balance sheet to buy more newly minted paper as they are in a...
  19. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    short 3964
  20. mervyn

    ES Journal - 2023/2024

    I see a B shape, trending up likely.
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