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The yield on a 3 month loan 5 years from now increased 35bp in the last couple weeks, EDU19, the Sep 2019 Eurodollar contract. If you can trade futures you can trade these contracts. At 25 dollars per bp. per contract you can tailor your size and there is great flexibility for expressing your...

There is a pretty strong breakdown in emergng markets etf EEM. Taper tantrum was tough on emergings and todays tightening seemed to rattle em a bit for now.

Trading signals come well before pundits attach a story to the PA. "THE" best trading signal/catalyst of the year thus far( present catalysts possibly excluded), was March 19. No way anyone could gauge or measure an appropriate of linear expected PA response to this story. So, going forward...

Poor trade management. Trailing stop on bullish rates position would have allowed market to take me out if trade as opposed to fear of a little pullback in MFE. No telling how far something will go. Timimg to do this could not have been worse with Yellins supportive comments to Bond markets...

Rate sensitive IYR sellimg off hard here. The treasury market is tightening , doing feds work, following a bond blood bath in Europe. Just today 10 year yields in Italy and Spain up more than 30 bp. Greece is an issue IMO despite complacency. And yet SPY down only 150 points or so AND...

I now recall your post discussing company risk in stocks vs. etfs. Liquidity requirements for etfs often limit us. I wonder if they should. I totally bypass some specific commodity stocks such as Corn,soyb,weat,coffee,sugar and so on. At the end of the day the price settles with the underlying...

Here is the problem. Take just one, the euro. You can spend a lifetime and not be able to trade it except for when you trade simple levels and momentum that a trader navigates very well without concern for the macro fundamentals. I would vote for becomimg a better trader. Whats wrong with making...

5/5 SPY after 3 down days last week and a hawkish tone to FOMC only pulled back to midpoint of Standard BB20. Up a couple days now with new highs an issue again. Seems best dog in show. Big money has not budged the SEP2015 eurodollar futures contract. It is 16 bp above the current libor 29bp...

Not an indicator but Market Profile is an old method to define S/R as value areas that both sides of the market agree to and where liquidity is present. Momentum , volatility occur as price moves from one area to the next. Maybe there is some method of measurement and testing available beyond...

Using these for tracking but often use other etfs for liquidity / volatility etc.. SPY,FEZ,FXI,EWJ. developed markets HEDJ,DXJ. Currency hedged europe and japan EEM,EWZ,RSX Emerging market PJP,IYR,XLF,XLU,QQQ Sectors...

5/1 Yeah, absolutely, you cant get what should happen correct so follow price. When push comes to shove a simple outright directional position is all i can handle most of the time. For me its more of a relative choice between one or another. I as well am biased long for Monday and am...

Industries such as healtcare, education and defense having the government as a fractional payer seem to have no incentive to reduce cost. True as well for other countries as well. I can only assume we have far superior lobyiists and as usual another example of American exceptionalism.

I did cotinue with an abandoned thread of mine in the ETF section thread. I would simply like to post some chronology of price action of some etfs. You are welcome to post as well. By the way i am still open in TMV but using a weekly chart and am willing to let it play out here on a daily...

Yeasterday, 4/30 Fomc meeting. Money is leaving the US assets. 20 year Treasuries and USD have sold lately and seem to end up in Europe, Russia, Brazil, oil, emergimg market equities from my limited viewpoint. The FOMC statement was interpretted hawkishly despite recent .2 Gdp and last NFP...

The Gartman trade is a great example. I almost entirely want to work with etfs and inverse etfs as i trade an IRA as well. TMV was a chart technical trade and is still open so A trader here once advised me not to trade my or "a" narrative. You cant game this stuff at our level. But we can...

I have an ipad and the charts display fine. And as the dollar weakness. The last few weeks may or may not correlate to the release of the fed minutes. FOMC announcement followed by FED minutes 3weeks later which can move markets as well. They are relentless. I post too much on your thread so...

These are nice to compare market sectors to see the best performers. Let me know if you want to see some combos you like.

Charts are neutral. 5 times as much money would need to be allocated to a leg where that leg is 20% as volatile as the other leg. The chart does this math and show what otherwise is not apparent. iEI-TLT is an extreme example and the rarity would be equal volatilities of each leg. I do,my own...

Great take on TMV and levered etfs in general. Have a look at what you already know but is difficult to see. I will post a couple charts of trends in combo positions , nets , or spreads in Long SPY short FXE and long FXI short EEM. Now because i can post a hindsight chart of trend does...