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Compare debt and equity markets preparedness between Greece Act1 circa 2010 and now. Yes, G,F,S and Italian yields have exploded up recently to 1.5 -2.5%. LOL! Far cry from 6+ % and global equity swoons 2010. The onus a default today seems to fall on the troika instead of the private sector...

German 10 year yield touched .99% today and euro approx. 114. US treasury yields followed. (Not ED futures but entire curve 2yr-30yr) Is this a combinationof fundamentals and closing a long running(approx 7 months) crowded trade? The trade was borrow euros to buy Europeadn sovereigh debt...

Euro area macro data better than expected. Drahgi speech today. Commited to QE . Media says he poked the bond market by advising to expect high volatility. Bund yields up 23% to new high of this recent yield rally. Euro took and held 112 level and US treasuries yields 10+ years reaching new...

Its possible the big box vendors will want "in" if the pace of US launches increases due to a Mission or maybe if community college algebra students suddenly want to show the MIT kids they they as well can sprinkle cube says that send "Hello World" to their Iwatch.

Would you rather hold your currency in your pocket or RISK exchanging(buying) something else with it? As soon as you take that risk and make an exchange you are "selling", shorting, the currency in your pocket and buying , long , the other asset. Draw a green horizontal line on top of a red...

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/GDBR10:IND The two day move 49 bp. To 71 bp. Inflation data from EUnion was .3% in May apparantly better than expected and a continuance of better than expected macro data from EU. Keep it simple. EUR.USD and US treasury interest rates go up with German Bund...

6/1 Yen vs. USD has broken down from a six month base. Buying risk with yen is a much better relative trade than buying risk with USD . Same may be said for the euro vs USD recently. The two etfs DXJ and HEDJ are performimg better than would a SPYJ(which as of yet does not exist) all USD...

You know, all i can remember after a few attempts to "day trade" the mini Hang Seng in the evening is that I cannot day trade. But seriously, i do remember the mini Hang Seng to be volatile and somewhat thin. It seemed to me to move more like CL rather than ES and to be entirely gamed rather...

My personal opinion is that the stretch of the euro to 114 was driven by the European bond route in response to "the end of European deflation". This freaky crash is done. Coincidentally? , this set the table for the ECB in terms of creatiing more qualified supply of higher yielding debt for...

I like eggs.

FXP is a 2X levered, inverse of the Shanghai 50 index etf, FXI. Somewhat thin at approx 200k /day volume recently and most movements are gaps to adjust yesterdays price to the overnight(US) China session. 1% of avg daily volume is about 2000 shares , $50k x 2 = $100k. The FXI etf has a 47%...

6/1 Back from Vegas vacation and all attempts to pay for vacation with gambling winnings fell short of the mark. General sentiment is that young liberal arts degree college graduates are screwed and working at Starbucks. I have it from two teachers in the family that there is serious shortage...

Recently, there has been some increased activity and volatility in Europe and US government bond markets. Not much at the Fed end of curve but quite a bit of movement at the 20+ end correlating with yields increasing in Europe. These two charts are neutral SPY-EII 2-3yr treasury and SPY-TLT ...

HEDJ is simultaneous long Eurostoxx50 stocks with a filter for exporters AND short EUR.USD Its usually very close to meeting its purpose. Today FEZ was up +.2 %. And FXE was down -1.4% FXE is long eur.usd so a short eur.usd was up +1.4% today. HEDJ was up +1.5% today so it is the net of its...

5/19 , Tuesday. Euro down xxx for the 1st two trading days this week. ECB will load up on QE purchases before the summer holiday low liquidity period. QE is euro negative. This news quickly followed and counteracted euro area soveriegn yields and the correlated euro rising Monday due to...

The near vs. 9th ED contract! Thanks for the lesson. That seems a valuable concept that i have never quite heard explained as well.

5/13/15 Retail sales flat, missed positive expectations. Consumer spending was less than even the small wage increses in the NFP despite low gas prices and now they are rising. Imports and export prices down sharp so when CPI comes out it should be low suppoting doves and stocks. 2yr note bid...

5/11 Bond markets took over today and resumed selloff . Treasuries at new recent lows and todays selloff is more dramatic than europe. Maybe new, higher volatility in treasuries. +13bp on the Bond. Looking to enter in trend at new daily resistance.TMV. Seems that global stocks and risk...

Clarification. http://www.barchart.com/charts/futures/EDM16&style=technical Eurodollar prices UP and of course rates down. This is June 2016. Large bars usually due to NFP's, FOMC statement and 3 week following, FOMC minutes.

5/8 NFP on target 223k.225k expected so in line. Wages up .1%, 2.3% Eurodollar futures had significant moves in contracts out 6 months of more UP approx 6-9bp which backed off rates from the average 25-30 bp rate increases in recent weeks. Treasury curve proxies: IEI up .33% this is...