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  1. J

    Questions How to Get Started Trading with Probabilities

    To assure the 1 pager on PVT was good enough, the troops did 400K sample. No changes were made.
  2. J

    Questions How to Get Started Trading with Probabilities

    The open tomorrow is long. bars 80 and 81 were both P1's. this means a third P1 will be on bar 1 and the volume accelertion will lock in part way through the bar to have a PP1 end Effect. at the extreme of the long of the bar it will be time to orient to the "taking" of this reversal...
  3. J

    Questions How to Get Started Trading with Probabilities

    1. The pink dot is a lat bar 4 BO. 2. No. 3. the U's are not perfect since TN is a little screwed up vis a vis its crashing point and the bars are not degapped on TN either. 4. Yes 5. The P1 test is "gated by having a just prior P2. 6. At that time you are correct. See 3 for...
  4. J

    Questions How to Get Started Trading with Probabilities

    My best day was 17 points on 100K shares You are new so google the commentary. I was trading 11 accounts, all on limited POA's. (including 3 or 4 handicapped adult offspring; I trade POA's as a courtesy) No, not scaleable, so I use three approaches from one paradigm. You can google the...
  5. J

    Al Brooks ideas - Possible to code?

    Bar-by Bar coding is not complex. BUT. Make sure your platform is using the correct definitions of logic and operators and paradigm theory. To run a test simply do an AND and an OR circuit for both outputs. If this test fails then you cannot use the platform to complete additional...
  6. J

    Questions How to Get Started Trading with Probabilities

    I tried to post page 4 of my log three different ways (gif, jpg and word) but it is not acceptable to ET. My equipment is newer than 2003.
  7. J

    Questions How to Get Started Trading with Probabilities

    I agree. Further I feel that once the dependent variable begins to makes snese (Price formations of two or three bars.), then you can begin to develop the independent variable and a leading indicator of the dependent variable. Look at braincell's quoted elements. He is into stats and only...
  8. J

    Event-based strategies

    Thanks for the notes on CL. It is seventh in liquidity.
  9. J

    ES Journal - 2013

    here is my annotated chart. I did not regognize that this is a journal. My appologies I will not post again.
  10. J

    ES Journal - 2013

    I am sidelining @ 54.3. (60) I will be in lateral (bar 59 onward) until bar 65 (lat7) and possibly longer. My goal is to do lat from sidelines and keep sentiment on log. (Edited text)
  11. J

    ES Journal - 2013

    @ 51.1 Bookmark rev long bar 58
  12. J

    ES Journal - 2013

    @ 50.3 on bar now (56) rev short
  13. J

    ES Journal - 2013

    @50.~ rev long on bar 49
  14. J

    ES Journal - 2013

    @ 51.~ rev short on bar 43
  15. J

    ES Journal - 2013

    Agreed. Enter Short on bar 1 (5 min) @ 52. ~ Rev Long on bar 9 @ 51.~ " short " " 29 @ 50.1 " long " " 36 @ 50.1 Edit: I count ticks as ~, 1, 2, 3 after decimal point.
  16. J

    Intuition Amplifiers 2

    For those who wish to examine the actual math of the game, read : "Beat the Dealer" by Thorpe. Thorpe has also written on the markets.
  17. J

    Volume

    Each of your comments are appropriate.
  18. J

    Questions How to Get Started Trading with Probabilities

    Your solution is to move your trading fractal to a faster trading fractal. It is difficult once a person locks in to statistics. Were you to be using finite maths, then things are very discernable. Big money is locked into stats since they use quant's mystic to "sell" clients and huge...
  19. J

    So, what does a good trader make per month?

    If a person makes a constant % per month, then he is growing capital month by month. 4% of 1 million becomes 4% of 2 million in a fixed amount of time passing. This is one equation with one variable. Think for a moment. The OP's mind does not work does it? The answer is: yes, the...
  20. J

    Bad Kelly

    the numeric that is the R value about which this stuff fouls up is R = 1. k goes to zero unless R < 1. But if R < 1, then there is no edge. This thread could be in chit chat at some point.
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