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    FSB insider's letters

    The first one I translated. The rest are translated by someone else.
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    Russia & Ukraine

    Letters from an FSB insider: https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/fsb-insiders-letters.365677/
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    FSB insider's letters

    Letter #4: The writer is quite disorganized in this one. The thing to remember is that most of the conspiracy theories in this one he does not consider true, most probably, but FSB is asked to manufacture these theories for the top tier's consumption. This is probably the first time that I’ve...
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    FSB insider's letters

    Letter #3: "I will start with the big picture. There are people with particular talents in the field of analytics (inside the FSB), who are retained here in the bureau not just for the value they bring, but to ensure that they remain under “control” (of the Russian government). For example...
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    FSB insider's letters

    Letter #2: Here’s the picture with regards to Putin & FSB. On the one hand, he is supported and respected, but if you slightly dig deeper, it’s a collective feeling for the image, thanks to which FSB has the power that it really has. To serve (in the FSB), there is one unforgettable rule. To...
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    FSB insider's letters

    Letter #1: I have hardly slept at all these days, at work at almost all times, I have brain-fog. Maybe from overworking, but I feel like this is all not real. The Pandora’s Box is open – a real global horror will begin by the summer – global famine is inevitable (Russia and Ukraine are main...
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    FSB insider's letters

    (Several well-connected and reliable people say these are most probably authentic) 4 letters follow. Warning - LONG letters. These were sent to a well known Russian dissident abroad over, I think, the last week or so. First one I already posted, just want to post them all in one place.
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    Russia could default as soon as next month, Morgan Stanley says

    I will be posting FSB insider's letters.
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    Russia & Ukraine

    More... "On 3/11, The 5th Directorate of the FSB (Operational Information and International Relations), in charge of foreign intelligence of the FSB, incl. in Ukraine, has been raided by the both FSO, Federal Protective Service of the Russian Federation ФСО – Putin’s own security service along...
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    Russia could default as soon as next month, Morgan Stanley says

    You continue Russian propaganda, it's like you're being spoon fed directly from Moscow. Yes, Russia is hurting. No, it has not hit bottom yet. The bottom is far FAR below. It's going to get there.
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    China Refuses To Supply Aircraft Parts To Russia

    A couple of years ago I was talking to a friend in Russia who owns a factory that produces very high-end commercial radio equipment (for example, microwave relay stations that very high-end traders use to reduce lag). High cost, high technology, lots of IP. (By the way, the only example I could...
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    Russia could default as soon as next month, Morgan Stanley says

    You don't get it do you :) You're correct, Russian default will not hurt the West that much. Because Russia is not much, economically. But Russian default will definitely hurt Russia. A lot. Good. QED.
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    Russia & Ukraine

    Here are my calculations: 1. Dead - Ukrainians say 12,000+. US CIA estimated 5-7000 a few days ago. UK intelligence thought 8,000. That's a few days ago, the numbers have gone up since then. So - let's say 7,500 dead 2. The ratio of wounded to dead in most conflicts is 3.5 to 1. Let's take the...
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    Russia & Ukraine

    About Russian army: "Fatigue of RU units "massive". A third has been replaced, but incoming units have even worse quality. Another third has been destroyed, killed or wounded. Re-formation of units doesn't have a good impact on combat capability." That tracks with the total casualties I have...
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    Russia & Ukraine

    About the generals: as I pointed out before, Russians' ratio of generals killed to regular troops in previous conflicts was around 5000:1. Do your math. About Belarus: "...Putin had planned for the Belarusian military to join his invasion (which Minsk denies). But the plan was foiled by a...
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    Russia & Ukraine

    Report: Putin appears to be truly unhappy with the FSB in Ukraine: he attacked the 5 Service SOiMS (FSB's foreign Intelligence branch). Sergei Beseda, head of the Service, and his deputy Bolukh, head of the DOI, placed under house arrest. From Christo Grozev - Bellingcat - "if confirmed, this...
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    Russia & Ukraine

    Yes that's the 1st major general (one-star general) killed.
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    Russia & Ukraine

    Ukrainians report that in something like 70% cases of Russian planes being shut down and pilots ejecting, the parachute doesn't open. With pictures of smashed up pilots to prove it. Also - reports that another one-star Russian general has been liquidated in Ukraine. Andrey Kolesnikov, commander...
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    China Refuses To Supply Aircraft Parts To Russia

    Kinda like you were imagining Russia as an industrial nation instead of a third world country with a resource-selling-based economy.
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    China Refuses To Supply Aircraft Parts To Russia

    :) Been living in the US since 1980. I didn't want to live in shit and I didn't want to keep contributing my labor, my effort and my life to one of the crappier countries in the world. The country that became this way by basically destroying, killing, imprisoning and exiling millions of the best...
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