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I think it is time to call on this site's ownership to consider canceling the advertising account of this guy. I assume that advertising does not give one the right to insult others, and to make posts that are irrelevant to the discussion such as some posts that appeared in a thread I started...

Stanford: could you please look at previous posts, and if you see that I did not answer a question you may have posed to please point it out? All: I have looked at some of my posts, and there are a lot of typos/wrong words, etc. I am short of time, I decided to write something rather than...

1. Time spread: Do not be surprised and pay more attention to this point: time spreads do not matter whether you use calls or puts. Just use the same type of option for both months. Which one to use: use the call if the call is out of them money, and use the put if the put is out of the money...

When I mention QQQQ in the posts, I do not mean that you trade them. I mention them for illustrative purposes. In this case the illustration is even needed because in case of QQQQs you have the end of month options (The quarterlies). They expire on September 30. You also have October expiration...

Hi guys. You are hard workers, and I can see you have progressed. I will need to read the post in more details as there is a lot of information in there (Particularly in Falconview's posts). Some quick points: 1. Stanford: as falconview point it out, you make money in time spreads in part...

Who states such claims? Does not the arc sine law probability implies that the prob that the fraction of positive time is less than or equal to 50%, is o.5. The density of the law is such that when the fraction of positive time approaches zero or one, the density slope goes to infinity. The...

Do you want to trade the trend or the noise in the trend? It looks like you did not get the answer you were looking for. The good news is that there is one.

My question was aimed at explaining it in the context of coin flipping so that the questions of applicability of laws/etc is not an issue. So the questions related to arc sine law in the context of coin flipping remains.

My understanding is that the arc sine law describes a variable that takes continuous values between 0 and 1. Your variable is between 0 and infinity, and is discrete. Could you provide further comments?

1. I think this is the part that is not intuitive. Could you explain the insights/the whys? Explanations that do not need the law itself can be educational and useful in trading, as they can instill insights. 2. The arc sine law is a distribution. The ratio of times satisfy it. Other...

1. If you find value, could you list what that value is, with a proof of why it is a value. You have the posts, so there should not be a problem to demonstrate the value. I think it would be useful if you could do that, rather than just making a statement. 2. The words "Many others": How...

The arcsine law describes the fraction of time spent in positive (or negative) territory. Even just two deviations on the win side can lead to the curve getting more likely stuck to the win side than to the lose side. It would be worth thinking about the paths that lead to a given win amount...

Stanfor, Falconview and others: Example of trades: I tried today at end of day to buy a time spread on QQQQ but I did not get filled. I wanted to buy October 45 puts on QQQQs, and sell september 30 (end of month not next week expiration) 45 puts. Quote was: 0.72 for october. 0.39 for...

Stanford: 1. I have the blog, but did not yet post in it. I plan to share the URL, when I make some posts. It you would be good if readers here (particularly those who were not beginners a lot time ago) can share their views on some of the important questions/points/concepts/etc to...

Experience cannot be bought, can only be earned requiring time/effort/mistakes/etc.

You have to give credit when credit is due. Big D and TJ were right on the price forecast, and others who opposed that view were wrong. It is a fact. To know if someone is knowledgeable or not, you use the old known method that is used in schools: the test/exam. Maverick posts about...

I wonder if you have thought to apply the content of your post above to the content of your post below, such as the first sentence in post below and the statement about professors accomplishments. Any comments?

I would like to comment on elements in your post: 1. I am stunned by some of the statements. Professors have earned their doctoral degrees, are not self-appointed, are peer reviewed, and are among the best of what the educational system can produce according to the metrics of the educational...

Mods: while doing the update, also make sure I do not receive notifications when DarthSidious posts a post like the one he did.

Stanford: Check VXN (volty of nasdaq-100). (On yahoo, type ^VXN). Volty is very important. The price of an option and the volty are "synonymous"! Look at the history of it to have an idea. Gonzo: PM me the blog. Are you a Dr as in PhD or as in MD? Talking about blogs, I have opened one on...