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You seem to have been mostly selling when it's going up lately... Well, it's a known fact that the stock market closes at 4:00 PM. Thus, there's a disconnect between the futures and the cash market after that. So, if someone would want to influence the market short term, it's easier to do so...

Does it matter? And manipulation how and by whom? I don't see anything special about that 'pop'.

Didn't you have that feeling 100 points lower as well? ;) Why a sell-off? Why not just a pullback? Below - we have an open gap at 36.

Maybe it was. Maybe not. I didn't say we would get a repeat of 2017 either - I just illustrated that making new ATHs does not by default mean a pullback is due. The sad fact is that volatility IS shrinking. And the VIX is heading ever lower... I do hope you're right and that we'll see a...

You seem to be tweaking these a lot. The reason you find yourself doing that is probably because the volatility and market conditions are changing, yes? This is why I'm a bit skeptical towards MA systems. They are static while the market is dynamic. Have you considered dealing with this by...

By this - are you referring to the most recent times the market made ATHs and corrected shortly after? Regardless, the opposite have happened as well. If we look at September 2017, the market actually followed this sequence after making ATHs: 1) 7 consecutive weeks each making ATHs 2) 1 week...

I'm listening. And what you say is interesting. But can you time the market on this information? Also, 'everyone' knows this already. To me, it just seems to represent potential risk. Warren is not president yet, etc. I also seem to find that other people have fundamental analysis claiming...

Hi all, Is actual demand for stocks something people consider in their fundamental analysis of the market? I don't know about the US or the rest of the world, but I know that in Norway, people traditionally have NOT been investing/saving in stocks. This have changed significantly for the last...

Not only are some people persisently and consistently calling a top - they're calling a crash. Why does it have to be a crash?

I commend you for your persistence and never ending optimism. :) I hope things work out for you eventually.

So, we have two weeks in a row both making ATHs and both closing at top of the range. I found 30 occurrences of this since 2013. 15 of these were found in 2013! And 6 in 2017. Some results: 27/30 times we made new highs (yes, ATHs) the next week 19/30 times we closed higher next week So...

What's your outlook moving forward from here in this parabolic, fresh, bull market? :)

Why? I may even agree with you - but would love to hear your rationale. It seems like everyone and their mother is expecting a pullback or even a crash these days. FWIW, my comments today were related to day trading and this particular daily structure/session. I'll do some homework over the...

And the board quiets...

We've all seen this movie a million times. The market slows down a bit. Some people feel the market's gone 'too high': "F**k - it's tempting to short this. It sure can't go higher than this. The FED will corrupt us all. I'll use a tight stop as the risk/reward is great." Maybe we'll see a...

Potential FBO at HOD here, but it's more likely that today's session will keep inching higher towards say 92 or 93 by the Close.

Sounds good. Keep us posted and good luck. :)

That's why trading is so difficult and why one particular style, i.e., reversion to the mean or trend following won't work in the long run. That's also why every single year there's a great money manager we don't hear about the next year. Markets may revert to the mean, but how far can they go...

The gap fill below and ensuing recovery was in play for today regardless of those news. News typically only amplify/accelerate the movements, IMO. Unless of course the news actually are a game changer/big trigger. Usually, they're not.

Gap from Friday closed. Should see a close (4:00) below 73 today, but I'm betting we'll print 3100 by Friday. EDIT: Current weekly range is 20,00 points. The last time we saw a weekly range of 20,00 points was at the end of 2017. So, something's gotta give, right? The smallest weekly range so...