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the best way to put it is that i'm trying to envelope a bottom. I resolved a long time ago that there is no way i can get in on bottoms and get out at tops - catching th wave and riding the trend is the best i can do.

dec and jan

i'm not going to call a bottom - one of my rules is that calling tops/bottoms is a suckers game. hopefully we do go down and i can avg down into a cheaper basis.

my thoughts exactly. add the fact that NG tracks oil's trend, toss in a dash of Iranian extremists and trigger-happy north korea and you have a great environment for volatility.

nothing to see here - move along.... :):)

epex. low volume - only or those with strong stomachs.....

i started this thread to get different perspectives on the energy markets - thanks for the feedback.

i live the exact same hell - i have always come in too early. with my psych, i have problems knowing that I missed out on a move. My answer to that was to take a _small_ initial position when I like a trade, giving it time to develop. edit: for feedback, i think it's important to say...

word on the street is Bolling is still long NG too.... i have a lot of respect for that old man... :cool: :cool:

Can a playa get some soap???!??1?? :)

my plan is to not avg down until the charts show me some confirmation. if NG is at 2, hopefully that's when I will be executing my next avg-down.... :) another thing that I have tought myself is that if i make a bad decision - the time I have to carry the trade is my punishment. the...

i'm not looking for assurace - i love ET because I can discuss something i found i really enjoy - trading. i always love getting other perspectives and opinions on things - i eat them up. that's why i am here. that, and the occasional pissing-match with the top and bottom callers in the...

oh i make no pretense - i am trading weak hands, no question. this is just the style that works for me.

nope - every short i've ever opened has gone bad - i do better long. i am by no means a permabull but i would rather use leverage to my advantage.

im not fighting it, i'm letting it carry me down, in order to catch a favorable ride on the way back up. when i say i double-down, im really fibbing. my trades progressively increase in size, moving my basis lower and lower with each entry. the key is to make sure you space out the trades...

what can i say - i like gassy ladies... :cool: :cool: i've only been trading seriously for 20 months, and after reviewing my track record, i realised that if i like a trade, i mean a real solid trade, i need to bring the hurt. 90% of my loosers have been wishy-washy trades where i...

thanks - i have a 4 month horizon on this trade, i have a feeling that after the elections it will be good. plus who was it that bought all of Amaranth's contracts - chase or citi? someone large bailed their assess out.(since they could no longer carry the trade...) i can't imagine one of...

what can i say - im KRAZY! when i enter a trade like this, i start out small and increase the lot size of each trade as i buy in. time will tell.....

i will work on the pictures. it was over 15$ last winter.

varrious entries over the past 40 days. high 9s, high 8s and today's prints. equity prices range from ~19.50 to today's prints (epex)