Search results

https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/fre/rule_702 This may help you to decide when to give more weight to an expert's opinion. In my view it should be backed by data and science. Otherwise it runs a higher risk of being political or purchased. https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/fre/rule_702...

First of all nice balanced post. I noticed that a recent poll by a national polling Company found that only 1% more people identified as democrat over republican.... that is a big change over past presidential elections... if I recall. You covered that with your post regarding R...

thanks spike... he is on ignore. see morons like exGoper think polls months out are predictions as opposed to how the electorate thinks they would vote at the time of the poll. There were times it looked like Romney was ahead. --- Also we could go to the 2016 thread where my final unskewing...

just like the occasionally more reasonable discussion we have seen regarding Sweden and the possibility of herd immunity... They started seeding that along side their fear mongering crap for plausible deniability after the election... "See we were balanced" . Like 99 to 1 and the 1 coming...

Thanks for that... But, we not been talking about how to start a proper poll from scratch. I have been talking about how to unskew a crooked poll if they have slanted their poll to be democrat or republican rich. Sure... they could also screw with independents but we are not going that deep.

I knew you were smart. Now I know why... j/k Just a little "racist" higher I.Q. joke... (i am not asian.)

Your logic is spot on. But... 4 years ago Nate Silver showed you could forecast a chance of victory for Trump if he was within 2 to 3 percent of Hillary in the national vote. Because she had excess voters in CA and NY. I presume the same situation still applies. Biden has a "wasted" 1 to...

Along those lines. Two weeks ago... one of my sons who is Texas right now... went to his girlfriend's home in a nice neighborhood near or in Dallas. My son was impressed and figured they were "rich" and she must have had far more money than us. But, then he and his girlfriend zillowed the...

The Zogby poll revealed its sample and it sampled 4 more dems than Republicans (if I recall) . Putting it in to Jem Balance Algo - Honest Poll category. Although we prefer Democrat plus 2 or 3. I just checked and I did not see that IBD revealed their sample. So... The Balance Algo has no...

I realized it seemed like I made an assumption about your position. I even dialed it back a bit knowing I really did not know. I do wish the lockdown people considered the all damage they are doing when they considered lockdowns. I certainly wish the politicians would do the balancing out loud.

Since the IBD/TIPP 2020 Presidential Election Tracking Poll launched on Monday, Oct. 12, Biden's support has slipped 3.8 points, from 51.9% to a new low-water mark of 48.1%. Trump poll numbers have gone the other way, rising 2.4 points to his new high-water mark of 45.8%. Biden's lead peaked at...

Overall, I love it here. Every thing I love to do is here. Great snowboarding and skiing is a drive away. We have seasons passes for a great mountain like mammoth and nearby mountains only 2 hours away. I love the beach. My daughter loves surfing now so I see myself doing that for years...

I am pretty sure Trump will not hold it against him.

If this goes on into 2021... we will be renting our home here and moving to a state where the governors really want to keep schools and life and business open... and let the people decide how to protect themselves... I know about 5 families who have already moved out of California. Seeing...

you did an excellent job of stating the argument... no lie it was a good read. But, there was no substance for us to be able to weigh whether one side was overstated or understated. I call those types arguments amorphous. Here is a question to see if you really are rational on this subject...

Is anyone denying its a dangerous pathogen to the old or those with co-morbidities? The argument to me is whether we should be asking the old and the co morbid to protect themselves better and let the kids and younger healthier people live as they wish. The data is there... we can see the...

Wrong about what douchebag? I predicted this would happen and then ceased posting back in July. Sadly, I could not have been more correct... as a few others have been.

exactly that is the thing these morons like nine morons had their fun telling us how bad we were in the US and how virtuous everyone else is... Now many of them are clearly less virtuous.. (kidding) Blaming the virus on the people is bad religion... voodoo shit. People get the virus...

Right.... so if Germany is your example of how to deal with Covid... Because their testing and tracing is so good... Germany has almost 200 percent more cases per day per million and 300 percent more deaths per day than Sweden... per million Sweden has only 446 cases per day and only 1 death...

You argument defies logic and reality. Germany is hitting new highs in infections. There is no way any sane person would be arguing their "targeted testing" is doing great. You might say they would be doing worse. But there is no evidence their program has stopped the spread. Facts show...