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  1. deaddog

    Are dividends mainly horsepoop?

    Some companies grow their dividends and this causes the price to grow. It's said that companies can manipulate their numbers to show increased earnings but you have trouble manipulating a cash dividend. You have to ask yourself why are you investing? Trading?
  2. deaddog

    The 5 year return of Bitcoin is ZERO today

    So stable coins meet the criteria of being a medium of exchange and a store of at least short term value. I take it they don't need the trusted third party and can be transfered peer to peer. (I hold USDT in my wallet and can transfer them to you without going through a bank) The only drawback...
  3. deaddog

    Psychic and crypto bagholder Michael Saylor says ETH and XRP are unregistered securities

    Is this done privately or thru an exchange?
  4. deaddog

    Reversion to the mean only trading...

    Large drawdowns would be a symtom of poor risk control. Why are you having large drawdowns? Large swings in your favor are why you trade.
  5. deaddog

    Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

    I would think Islamic Finance would work against bitcoin. Isn't there the concept of gharar. In a financial context, gharar refers to the ambiguity and deception that come from the sale of items whose existence is uncertain. Bitcoin is like a unicorn, people swear that they are out there, but no...
  6. deaddog

    Is Tether/USDT Still Safe?

    I think in understand stable coins; they are basically US dollars. Who is using them and is their use widespread? When you refer to unbankable countries are these stable coins used as a medium of exchange or just as a store of value?
  7. deaddog

    The 5 year return of Bitcoin is ZERO today

    Why do you assume that someone holding Tether would buy crypto? I would go to cash. Good ole US dollars and wait to see what happens. If I have to store value for the next month or so I'm going to cash.
  8. deaddog

    What’s the point of portfolio diversification?

    In a bear market almost everything falls. The best way to control risk is to have a method of getting out in a down market.
  9. deaddog

    Can you beat someone who religiously buy and hold bitcoin from inception with trading?

    I kinda know how you feel, I had a similar situation in 2002 as the value of my liquid net worth was cut in half as a result of my buy and hold strategy. It was a feeling I didn't want to repeat so I changed my strategy. If BTC does what you expect it to, and makes a new high in the next couple...
  10. deaddog

    70+ Billionaires : Any Regrets ?

    Happiness is a choice. It's up to you.
  11. deaddog

    Another “what’s your edge” thread

    Thanks for trying. Us third graders have trouble grasping "The discounting includes adjustment for risk as well as time-value (we often call this discount function the SDF or pricing kernel), so the shape of the implied forward density incorporates risk-aversion, trading constraints, etc... as...
  12. deaddog

    Can you beat someone who religiously buy and hold bitcoin from inception with trading?

    Sounds like whatever it is you are doing is working out for you. If you reinvested 40k USDT which I assume is equivilant to 40k US Dollars. It seem to me that you have made quite a bit more than you have by buying and holding. I guess it depends on how you spin it. Anyway I'm still waiting...
  13. deaddog

    Here's the Apology Letter from SBF

    I didn't have to. I managed to become wealthy by being disciplined and not holding losers.
  14. deaddog

    Here's the Apology Letter from SBF

    No in 2000 I was an idiot buy and holder. I learned my lesson. Don't believe anything you hear. Don't trust anybody. Price doesn't lie to you!!
  15. deaddog

    Here's the Apology Letter from SBF

    Kinda sounds like crypto, don't it!
  16. deaddog

    Can you beat someone who religiously buy and hold bitcoin from inception with trading?

    I based it on my own trading experience which is slightly positive for 2022. Mostly cash but a few stocks that have made gains. I thought that your trading was that you wanted to put some money to work and figured that trading was a better way than buying and holding. Has to be some reason you...
  17. deaddog

    Another “what’s your edge” thread

    I challenge you to explain that in terms a grade 3 could understand. :)
  18. deaddog

    Can you beat someone who religiously buy and hold bitcoin from inception with trading?

    The discussion starts at post 69 One year later. I made 2 small trades and got stopped out both times. Maybe down 1K So as a trader my account value would be $243K An account with 5 BTC is worth 88k!! And the guy who wanted to bet that buy and hold out performed trading, is day trading crypto...
  19. deaddog

    goldman sachs peasants

    So who do you believe; Goldman Sachs juniors now earn up to $500,000 as Wall Street hikes bonuses - Financial News (fnlondon.com)
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