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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    The front end of the US and Germany:p
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    For those who expect inflation to win over debt concerns, the real test will come when Spain needs a bailout and Germany pays for most of it, the figures are just insane. I dont believe the direction of Bunds prices will be up once the market realizes this(it would be up a lot if Spain were...
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Well, 3m commercial paper rates have been drifting up, both for Nonfinancial http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/data/Weekly_Friday_/H15_NFCP_M3.txt and Financial companies http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h15/data/Weekly_Friday_/H15_FCP_M3.txt The financial side is up about...
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    That would explain a lot of things. However if you were a US bank lending in london to an European bank, wouldn't it make sense for you to reprice your rate a little higher to take into account the higher risks(with the ongoing EU meltdown and all) even though the bank you are lending to has ECB...
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Tell me something, you really expect this global debt crisis to be solved within months(as opposed to years) or you dont antecipate one at all?Remember Keynes beauty contest, it doesnt matter what is true but what people think it is, the banks are the ones holding a ton of sovereign debt, if you...
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    GEM0 is down 2bps in my screen
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Another day another decline in the EUR and Jun 2010 Eurodollars
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Macroman raises the possibility of some major libor blowup http://macro-man.blogspot.com/2010/05/bread-and-butter.html As far as his comments "Yesterday's ISM was pretty impressive. True, a lot of the strength was "in the price" via the consensus forecast, but even that was exceeded. New...
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Bidding war? http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a5SObkJu.E2I&pos=5
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    General Growth Says Received ‘Whole Company’ Offer From Simon http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aAyuhKelEP2M&pos=5 Probably a good deal higher than $15 a share
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Good luck there, its not a matter of fear of a 'lasting' increase in the spread, its a matter of a sporatic increase there in the day of the settlement. This european crisis wont be over because of liquidity support and a promise of fiscal reform in a single country. Lets say Portugal blows up...
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Apparently you conveniently missed the part where I pointed sources showing the bank ratings affect their collateral requirements with private sources, furthermore the market of value of the debt also affects that and people sell bonds when they get downgraded. The sovereign rating affects the...
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    You need to re-read my post, I said INFERIOR liquidity
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    I doubt he would be on the eurodollar calls given its inferior liquidity so I bet your information is correct. Good call on the ECB
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Martinghoul said the dude blew up in 2008
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Looks like the Jun GE is decoupling big time from ZQs, siva joty galore. I dont believe I'm coming back there anytime soon
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    How is it possible to print money like hell and cause no inflation

    Martin, Is this updated?It seems to differ from the Fed Senior Survey which is just about to start showing net easing Perhaps the difference is that the Fed Survey has a bigger large businesses component and this one is more consumer, small business related?
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    "Inventories contributed 1.57 percentage points to GDP, less than half the contribution in the last three months of 2009 when businesses became less aggressive in clearing their warehouses." Looks like the time for flashy headlines on GDP reports is coming to an end. At the end of the day...
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    Judging by the last 3 Qs of GDP final sales and the employment growth(more like lack of growth) during this 'recovery'. I would say El-Erian and Gross are correct with regards to the 'new normal'
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    The Credit Crisis Financial Stocks Short Journal

    GDP Report "Excluding inventories the economy expanded at a 1.6 percent rate following a 1.7 percent pace in the fourth quarter." This economy is weak "The central bank’s preferred price gauge, which is tied to consumer spending and strips out food and energy costs, rose at a 0.6...
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