"Maybe you aren't getting the point.... but selling puts on bonds are effectively the same risk position + similar return profile. There are a lot of ways to earn 30 bps a year on some huge notional number, for events which probably won't happen. "
I appreciate this and Martin G's input, this...
this is what I have taken out the acd thread so far mostly due to Mav:
breakout vs reversion to the mean
price action
acd levels
long vol = long bonds
spreading
Shan I was very struck personally that bonds got bid huge before adp on wednesday, but seriously take what I say with a grain...
this came out wednesday, call it what you want. To be honest I have no idea why they crushed oil, this is my educated guess.
http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2012/05/02/adp-jobs-report-disappoints
you are not alone, sg's post is some confusing technical analysis fo shizzle.
SG maybe you can explain you're theory. I looked briefly at your other thread and I am confused.
Mav long bonds long es, it be magic, you rock!
know your trading platform cold, there have been lots of execution errors which have killed people over the years. You see some fat fingers that take people out, so whatever you are using practice executing orders, getting in and out when there is a fast market, etc. Under pressure people make...