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  1. poopy

    Trump shot at PA rally

    The Teleprompter was hit.
  2. poopy

    Trump shot at PA rally

    No, I don't think it is.
  3. poopy

    Trump shot at PA rally

    Clarence Thomas just signed this guy's 4473 approval.
  4. poopy

    Trump shot at PA rally

    Rifle shot. Trunp hit by shattered glass or plastic.
  5. poopy

    Trump shot at PA rally

    You predicted his shooting? Link? This doesn't sway any voters. He won the election with Biden's debate performance.
  6. poopy

    Trump shot at PA rally

    Clearly rimfire. Went for head shot. Collateral means Fed-investigation into shooting by USSS if they are responsible for the second death. No more rallies. Trump will be emboldened and want a victory tour, but USSS will not sanction.
  7. poopy

    Trump shot at PA rally

  8. poopy

    Trump shot at PA rally

    The expert speaks. Why don't you do another insipid video outside of Mar a Lago.
  9. poopy

    Trump shot at PA rally

    It's extraordinarily difficult to get a legit, commercial firearm into a rally like this. It's probably some homemade rimfire thing. The detector's sensitivity is set to commercial compact firearms (S&W Shield) as to not be too sensitive where they are searching everyone and picking up change...
  10. poopy

    Can anyone be my trading mentor? (short term trading)

    Beta (to index) is available to everyone and requires no market experience. 18yo = time, no money. 70yo = money, no time. Kids don't want to hear to plow their cash into index funds bc they don't have any. The grift of day trading is strong.
  11. poopy

    Can anyone be my trading mentor? (short term trading)

    Motivation is not an edge. The Fibonacci stuff just exposes their level of naivete. There are methods to arb term structure edge (x) and skew (y) which are known at the inception of the trade. Sticky local vol (modality), relative value (single name at n-bps over index), quasi-dispersion, etc...
  12. poopy

    ...And They Have a Plan. (Live.)

    This is how advanced we humans will be when @overcast becomes profitable:
  13. poopy

    What has been some of the issues that causes the panics in airline stocks dump

    Paying 25 vol today is 30 vol in two weeks. VAST vol as synthetic time. Use a bull spread.
  14. poopy

    Can anyone be my trading mentor? (short term trading)

    @PPC is an alias of a banned nick @Xela. You need to avoid various serial trolls who are absolutely clueless. @Handle123, PPC, et al.
  15. poopy

    Can anyone be my trading mentor? (short term trading)

    Delta1 (shares, futures, no convexity) is really fcking hard. There are a handful of guys on here who are profitable. A handful. I trade vol. I had a great Delta1 PNL-run in 2019-2021 but as soon as I met my target I went back to trading equity-vol.
  16. poopy

    System development and trading

    Too many arbs on MMers books. It's been tested to death. Imbalances, tho.
  17. poopy

    QQQ The March to 500

    In before OP covered his fictional calls at QQQ 499! Excelsior!
  18. poopy

    System development and trading

    As market drops your 40D put vol will be bid.
  19. poopy

    System development and trading

    Initially I used the free (synthetic) call or put as a vol-trigger to cover the underlying. Say that you're long Delta1 and price rallies in XYZ. Volcorr beta to index may favorably impact the market in the put component of the long synthetic call leg. Generally these benefit longs more than...
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