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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I can't sleep, but keep spinning my thoughts about how the market moved. I got a few minutes rest, but will try and watch the market action - and some Bloomberg to get my sleep going. The new high on EURUSD is absolutely incredible ... so fast it happened. I was wondering if there wouldn't...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Pssst. Watch out €-longs .. the USDJPY is moving a little too... some pressure - now my eyes are not acting this action anymore. I feel like how Chinook have described himself many times - almost collapsing - I guess all the excitement didn't get to me before I stopped. Phew.
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I got +35 ticks on that spillover USDJPY move. I'm totally flabbergasted ... I have absolutely no idea how to interpret this infighting I see close to the ath on the EURUSD, I gave back a good 12 ticks on being stubborn , but got another scalp for +9 ticks back again. I feel the...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Will try and get a copy of that. It will be good reading, for sure. Best of luck - and thanks for the heads up - this time I get in. A little late - but still good for 9 ticks. I guess you can add me to the list of people in debt to you. :)
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    With US names buying USDCHF too now, I would tread carefully indeed. The atmosphere feels very heavy - I took a EURUSD leg down to offset and get into EURJPY again - but I don't like the situation very much - slightly negative now - although just a handful of ticks. Got to get a handle on...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    If we see a weakening of USD overall - with USDJPY below 103.15 - then a real EURUSD bounce will get much more credible. But until then, the EURUSD will continue to be volatile, I think. EURJPY doesn't look all that bullish to me yet, considering trend channel last weeks, or months even...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I'd be careful so far with EURUSD ... but then again, I'm a equity-size fearful scalper. :D I hope you guys have proper stop limit and exit strategies ... someone are "shagging" the moves. :) I won't stop nagging about the USDJPY move here until we see 0.009710s - i.e around 103.08-area.
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Nice up move on the EURJPY there ... :D Will not yield - better wait for US session for better liquidity - but long USDJPY is the best side of that leg on levels above 103.45 I guess. EURUSD little moved on back of this - which shows the intention of the quick move on EURJPY. I guess I...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I feel like a contrarian with you guys, because I shorted the "extension" on the EURUSD. I just did it to take the EURJPY leg into play ... The stalling of the USDJPY is boring me a little. Didn't get more than 6 ticks though - but think it can get lower unless Neal is not backing off...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Not trying to take opposite sides here, but equities doesn't involve that many losers when it rises ... except for those hedgeing futures. Therefore currency-trends tend to hurt some - while benefiting others, or am I fundamentally wrong here, as the fx newbie I am. edit: looks like a little...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    No, the guy was talking about 1.35+ EURUSD and USDJPY 95. I don't know if I missed saying that. He believed in a retrace this year, then the higher targets next year. I tend to agree. :)
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Yes, I think that we will see further USD weakness, but with december thin and volatile markets coming up I think that profit-taking will neccessarily come - and where can it go when "everyone" are long EURUSD ? I edit-quoted an analyst from Standard Chartered just on Bloomberg UK in my...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    On the back of further weakening US equities and expectations, Neal might be right about a quick run-up on the EURUSD, though. It's a hard call. I do think we will make a run for it before having a retrace, but I have no idea when and how it will materialize. I have a little trouble seeing...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I agree onthe BS of the down move - just glad I got my trade target on it .. :) I don't think we'll see 1.31 this week; the popular talk now is about some profit-taking, but we need some catalyst. Corporate hedging in the EU has not materialized - and I think they're speculating in being able...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Yes, it's importance has risen during the last week. I think that current levels will be good for some whipsaw or fast slide action later on, but without the asian session in full vigour we might see the touted profit-taking fears becom triggered on the back of a unexpected number - or a number...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I like being right, but now that I've averaged myself into a small profit (by adding to "losers" - wohoo :D) I will just have to be patient for this latest ploy to fizzle. Maybe we'll go around 1.3010 again on the EURUSD - that's very probable as the slide has no big substance this night -...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Thomson notes that the USDJPY extension is on the back of USD strengthening - i.e the EURUSD run downwards. No real substance, bluffing on thin volumes and that the preferred strategy is shorting levels from here as the action is totally unrelated to MOF/BOJ action. Well, they couldn't touch...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    At least I got my +80 position on the EURUSD position. I might have waited for +100, but why take chances. And it seems they are rumours that are still unconfirmed. The rumour mill is nice to have on holidays - so I think this one has little substance to it still. The USDJPY still only...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I just placed my stop well above and will see this one as a fire-and-forget - not exactly a AGM-65 Maverick or AIM-120 AMRAM missile but something close in nature. :D I just added, so I have a +30 target on this - I think it's quite plausible given markets right now. Very thin action on the...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Seems like they're trying to cap some of the rebound in USDJPY ... let's see how long they can keep it up. They need to get that stop-run pump getting an awfully lot of times to hold the market off. edit: Interesting interview with BOC representative on FT.com, Thomson cites. Li Ruogu says...
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