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  1. MAESTRO

    Measuring Choppiness

    A unique price change is the event when previous((Bid + Ask)/2) <> current((Bid + Ask)/2). The formula is showing the mean expected price deviation in N steps. If the real price change is less than expected value the chop is high; however, if it is higher, than the directional move is prevailing.
  2. MAESTRO

    Measuring Choppiness

    That's OK. The smart ones will befit, the dumb asses will not! :cool: :D
  3. MAESTRO

    Measuring Choppiness

    Chop = squareroot(2*N/pi), where N is a number of unique price changes in a unit of time. The higher the number the less chop you have.
  4. MAESTRO

    Tired of Cutting My Losses Short

    Protective stops should be a function of current volatility levels. No fixed stop loss levels will be efficient. Markets are constantly changing their behavioral patterns. You need to adopt your stop loss calculations to them. Psychological profile of any market can be stable only for a short...
  5. MAESTRO

    A zero cost collar?

    exactly
  6. MAESTRO

    A zero cost collar?

    Do you realize that a covered call is the same thing as a short naked put?
  7. MAESTRO

    Soros increases stake in LEH

    In the world of paradigms there is an expression: - "Shift Happens!":D
  8. MAESTRO

    Soros increases stake in LEH

    I know a sure way to go bankrupt: - constantly increase your share in diminishing assets! :D
  9. MAESTRO

    Urgent Message From Rennick

    I don't watch anybody here on ET anymore, except Rennick! I think, Bill, you should create your own website! I like your sense of humor and your common sense. You are the only poster here worth reading. Highly entertaining!
  10. MAESTRO

    Oil has broken support and going back to the double digits the bull market is here

    I guess, you are not that familiar with the Options trading then.
  11. MAESTRO

    Oil has broken support and going back to the double digits the bull market is here

    I am buying Oct 130 oil calls. We will see. P.S. On top of it I bought US dollar index Puts. No guts, no glory!
  12. MAESTRO

    Use random walk to make $$$

    Another very clear and elegant comment! I concur! :cool:
  13. MAESTRO

    Use random walk to make $$$

    If I tossed a coin and it landed 12 times on a row showing heads does that mean I am in a"head trend" ? :D
  14. MAESTRO

    Use random walk to make $$$

    GOD BLESS YOUR FAMILY!
  15. MAESTRO

    Use random walk to make $$$

    I am very sorry to say that, please do not be offended, but your statement clearly indicates to me that you are still not quite there yet in understanding of randomness. Randomness has nothing to do with the predictability or with the anticipation. Unfortunately, there is no reading material...
  16. MAESTRO

    Use random walk to make $$$

    What a rare and wise response! Less than 1% of all the traders can grasp the concept of randomness! And, yet, that is the only way to make money on the markets whether you like it or not! The understanding of true randomness of the markets has been a life-long research for me. Thanks God I never...
  17. MAESTRO

    Is it possible to backtest an gamma scalping strategy?

    I am on my jury duty, Can't really type. We had a lunch break, so I checked the ET. Get your self a copy of Cottle's book , "Coulda, Shoulda, Woulda"; it has a pretty good chapter on the Gamma scalping. If you want, you can PM me your e-mail address so I can send you an electronic copy of this...
  18. MAESTRO

    Is it possible to backtest an gamma scalping strategy?

    Don't forget that the Gamma scalping is a dynamic, not static strategy and could only be successful if the position is constantly adjusted to neutralize its Vega and Theta. Gamma will only manufacture Deltas in your favor if you stabilize Vega and Theta.
  19. MAESTRO

    Where is the recession? Show me ?

    "Where is the recession? Show me ?" How about now? Still no sign of the recession? He, he ... I told you back in March to buy puts and sell calls on every rally. You said you had some hard data to prove that there is no recession or inflation. You said that those trades will never work out...
  20. MAESTRO

    Pictures of your trading stations

    Comming soon ... :cool:
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