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  1. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    I'm holding short Sept ES from 1363.00 overnight into the Goldman earnings and PPI. No stop until tomorrow AM. OldTrader
  2. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Holding short ES at 1363.00 from Friday. For now I'm placing a stop at 1386.00 until I can see how the day develops. OldTrader
  3. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Short a small position at 1363.00 basis Sept ES. Will set stop on Monday morning. Probably 15-20 points. OldTrader
  4. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    In your dreams. OldTrader
  5. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    I don't know much about the arithmetric versus geometric adjustments. But in terms of seasonal adjustments, the purpose was so that economists could measure one period versus another without getting distortion due to the time of year. The idea was that over the year these adjustments would...
  6. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Actually there appears to be considerable latitude in how the rule of 10 is applied. In fact, I think the data is cherry picked through hindsight. That applies not only to entry, but how you are exit as well. That said, it's only an opinion, and certainly would change to some degree if I had...
  7. O

    Done with IB, had enough.

    I agree with your post. This should be no big deal to remedy. However, my understanding is that the name on an incoming wire has to match the name on the account. I wouldn't even dream of doing what the OP attempted to do. How difficult would it have been to deposit it in his own account...
  8. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    I'd be surprised if you saw that last target, today at least. Of course, it wouldn't be the first time I've been surprised either. OldTrader
  9. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Are you selling 1/3 at these targets? OldTrader
  10. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    B1S2 has said that there is no requirement to post a trade. He's just laid out the rules in terms of posting trades for the journal. Those seem like good rules to me. I make some quick trades as well. I don't post those because the time burden would become too much. What I'm posting is...
  11. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    How about that? OldTrader
  12. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Maybe the beige book has something important in it. But meanwhile, I'd keep my eye on the crude oil market. Up 6.21 in July Crude oil is pretty strong headwind. Oldtrader Edit: I currently have no dog in this hunt. I've been trading the sell side today, in and out. Nothing posted...
  13. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    OK, sounds good to me. My only point was that there is no classicly defined chart support at 1340. Since I can't draw a picture, that would be where we had made a high for instance at 1340, retraced, then broke out above 1340. 1340 would then be considered support. OldTrader EDIT...
  14. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    I'm not saying we can't rally. I'm just pointing out that there is no classically defined chart support at 1340 ES. It wouldn't be the first time that we bottomed at a point where there was no chart support. Chart support is not necessarily the same point that buyers show up. OldTrader...
  15. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    What makes you think that that either of the trades you cited exceeds the 2% risk limit. Maybe they are both within the guidelines. Perhaps you can illustrate the logic you're using to make this statement. Can you show a trade that has an edge? How did you determine whether it had an edge...
  16. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Of course...but you knew that didn't you? By the way, I don't see any support there at 1340. Not that it might not bottom there, but no classically defined chart support. That said, it's a tough strategy to buy against the trend, support tends not to work well in those circumstances. My...
  17. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    How do you define "edge", and what makes you think there is one? OldTrader
  18. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    FWIW: There's an unfilled gap around 1336 on the RTH chart from mid-April. OldTrader
  19. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    You mean if it doesn't go up, it's going down? LOL. OldTrader
  20. O

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Very nice. Why did you close it out rather than follow it down with stops? That's new for you isn't it? OldTrader
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