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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    One of the recent characteristics of the indexes is that they seldom have big moves two days in a row. After Friday's 104 Dow rally, look for minor trending, but more likely up-and-down, choppy action. I'm still not anxious to follow the either-or down signals, in other words. (Besides, the...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    Once again, the three targeted indexes have differing opinions concerning Friday's probable direction. As a result, I will avoid following the pronounced sell signals in the S&P's unless the market shows decided weakness relative to the Dow. Probably a more prudent play for Friday would be...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    The sell signals in the S&P are starting to look undeniable. There is confirmation in all three signal groups. Both the other two indexes are also affirming net bearishness. I can't argue. I expect downside S&P action on Thursday.
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    I don't see too much exciting for tomorrow. Obviously, this can change as the day progresses. For now though, what we're seeing for preliminary biases is one fairly large negative number in the S&P. That and the recent turnover in the monthly date indicator -- (i.e., we're nearing the...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    sashe wrote Nice and clear plan, Art, makes sense I have had some success with index futures using your method for my continuation swing trades. Keep up the great work. thank you sashe. the art collins labs will keep humming.
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    I expect a rally in the indexes tomorrow, particularly the Russell, which is exhibiting a strong upside signal, and the Nasdaq, which is affirming long biases in all three of the signal classes. The currencies continue to show divergence. I'd be more inclined to continue pursuing the short...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    sashe wrote Hi Art, a quick question... When you say you'll long yen tomorrow, what exact time do you have in mind? I mean yen trading 24 hours ..when is your potential entry, thanks in advance daily (pit) open--in this case, 7:20 am cdt.
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    Sorry for the missed day Friday. I'm not the most savvy guy in the world when wireless laptop cards inexplicably go out and I'm in California away from my land based software and the surrounding geeks in Starbucks are willing and accommodating, but ultimately unable to help. Anyway, I'm back...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    Best upside bias: the Nasdaq. Most likely downside: 30-year bonds. It's going to be hard for me to do commentary next week as I won't have easy Internet access. I should be able to continue posting the numbers though. Refresher, the best thing to see is something that is signaling one...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    The indexes and bonds have been moving in tandem for the last couple of days. If the normal divergence is going to resume, Thursday would be a likely timeframe. The bonds are near resistance levels in addition to flashing negative biases across the board. The indexes should continue today's...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    Interesting the difference a day can make. On Tuesday, the Nasdaq flashed unanimous sell biases and Wednesday, they're 180 degree opposite. All three Czar boxes are in long mode. The other indexes each show two buy biases and one neutral. One of the reasons behind the about face is the fact...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    Tuesday presents a solid array of sell signals across all markets. A -4 is flashing in Nasdaq, 30-year bonds, 5-year notes, the yen and the euro currency. As I've mentioned, it's not so much the strength (or weakness) of the number that matters, because (-1) counts as much as (-4). It's the...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    i must sheepishly offer a slight correction re friday's posting. although i will be trading all three indexes from the short side today, two of the three indidicators are flashing sells and one box is neutral across the board. i had mistakenly said there were unanimous sell...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    For Friday, all three Czar groups in the indexes are signaling sells. This may be a great time to heed what they're saying as the markets have been exceedingly overbought of late. I just submitted the technical trading book that I've been slaving over for the last six months to the...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    The most pronounced bias for Thursday is a short in the Nasdaq. Sell signals are coming out of all three of the Czar groups.
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    It's a thin market and I'll approach it with caution, but the Swiss Franc on the short side is my favorite target for tomorrow. You might also see some softening in the indexes, particularly the S&P, but don't get too carried away with profit potential ideas. Days following big moves like...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    For Tuesday, I would be more inclined to follow the negative 30-year bond reading than the S&P. The S&P reading is flying in the face of calendar bull signals. The market is also more oversold than the bonds. I'll consider initiating bond shorts on the open and adding to them at 11202. If...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    The indexes made an impressive comeback Friday after failing to penetrate support levels. (125600 in the S&P). We expect probable continued downward pressure, however given the CzarChart numbers. In the S&P, note the unanimous -6 in either-or indicators. The monthly indicator also...
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    Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

    some of you have voiced confusion as far as integrating the biases i'm posting. i don't have a set methodology for integrating them at this time. you can follow just the first box and act off that. my most recent analysis has convinced me that a bigger absolute value doesn't have more weight...
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