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    ES, yield curve and gold

    I sure did. I closed all my GC positions overnight. (Pat on the back) Unfortunately, I can’t say the same for my short ES. I just added and added. It was ugly. I’m away from my computer so will make a combined update post for today and tomorrow. I gave up a good chunk of January’s gains today...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    Well that was a swingy day. +$15k at one point, -$15k an hour later. End the day slightly in the red. ES moving +15 points after-hours with Meta's earnings release--wow, big move up for Meta. Winners: GC and the yield curve Losers: ES/SPX At the lows of the day, I actually had orders to close...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    JP: "Ongoing increases will be necessary...". This might put a pin in whether or not there's only one more 25 bps hike remaining.
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    I hope JP doesn’t use the same speech writer as Tiff Macklem from the Bank of Canada.
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    The risk to bears is if this is not a given.
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    1. I dropped the ball badly on ES. I was aggressive with my shorts going into the close. Flattening out half an hour before the close would have been great. I held on and was slapped around. 2. Yield curve worked very well today especially with my additional ZT length. 3. GC has been working...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    1. My two SPX time spreads worked very well today with volatility picking up. I was tempted to close one of them, but didn't. Re-entered some of the short ES/short put position with VIX touching 20. ES between 4000-4020 on Friday would make me very happy. 2. Adjusted my yield curve trade...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    Legged into a NFLX put diagonal (+Mar 360/-Feb 340). I could see it going back down to its pre-earnings level of $340. IVP = 1% so potentially a good entry from a volatility perspective.
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    Thinking is 95%

    Is everyone male on this forum?
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    What do you guy's do to prevent tilting?

    No. 5% DD relative to the high-water mark. A 5% DD in a day would be a very bad day. Account size is relative, but here is my journal. I don't sit in front of my computer all day if that's what you mean by trading. I don't consider myself a day trader.
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    What do you guy's do to prevent tilting?

    I would replace the word ‘make’ with ‘lose’. Time is somewhat irrelevant. My approach is after a 5% drawdown, stop for 2 days. If the drawdown subsequently becomes 10%, pause for a week. 15%—another two weeks…etc. Absence allows my mind to recalibrate and refocus. If I’m on a heater, the last...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    I appreciate your perspective. I'm not sure if I have too many balls in the air, but rather need to avoid trading outside my personality. I hate being wrong and I need to be better a taking losses. I should avoid directional bets and trade around what I'm comfortable with (my personality) by...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    I'm usually bummed when trading closes on Friday with no trading on weekends, but I'm welcoming a break this weekend. I'm drained and a weekend with the family will help reset my mindset. I was pretty stupid last night. I added 4 more GC contracts and when GC went down to about 1937, I bought...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    Well that didn't quite work. I should have closed the additional longs half an hour after I bought them as GC went up to 1959. 1. I peeled off some ES puts at the close and bought an SPX March 4030/February 4000 put diagonal. I'm setup short and looking for volatility to return. 2. TUT was...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    Well that didn't quite work. I should have closed the additional longs half an hour after I bought them as GC went up to 1959. 1. I peeled off some ES puts at the close and bought a March 4030/February 4000 put calendar. I'm setup short and looking for volatility to return. 2. TUT was red...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    Interesting price action in GC this week with local lows at around 6:30 MT. Added to my GC position with 4 GC contracts filled @1950.30. Will it get back up into the '60s? So far so good... 30 minute candles
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    1. It was definitely a more interesting day than yesterday. I hacked up my ES trades but still modestly positive. I don't think I did anything wrong--I had to manage my deltas in the morning and the ES just climbed all day. Kept my promise to myself by selling the SPX calendar upon touching...
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    Bought back NQ at 11841. I think it's still going to be an interesting evening.
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    LOL. New dilemma. I can now exit NQ with a scratch. This move down from the evening open feels very unhealthy. I'm going to stick with the short NQ for now, but it'll be an interesting evening.
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    ES, yield curve and gold

    1. What a boring day. One small put roll up. 2. Can't complain about gold. It's doing what I want it to do. 3. I played MSFT earnings to the downside by buying some weekly ITM puts and shorting NQ in the last 15 minutes. MSFT is up $10 after earnings release. This will cost me my P/L from...
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