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Good luck to you too Benny but I think that trying to squeeze out whatever juice is left in the bond rally might be very risky <b>IF</b> you're expecting bonds to go down soon for several months and if it because of soft economic data. The dollar made gains yesterday based on strong industrial...

I think I'll start paying more attention to the auction schedule. The dates in the article that are identified as potentially difficult days for the bond market are the same dates I have already stored in my calendar of price drops. I know it's premature to say this but (what the heck) I think...

Sellers are on the sideline, waiting for a barrage of data and Fed events to be over before selling massively in early February. By that time TA charts will probably show a megaphone or a double-top formation and at that point, we will either have the first piece of bad news triggering the...

I think <i>fortuna</i> also cares about newbies when he warns them that the high volatility that attracts them is there for a reason and that they have to figure out why.

Very good advice.

<b><i>Treasuries weaker as supply talk dominates</i></b> http://news.ft.com/cms/s/3fe2b206-81d1-11da-aea0-0000779e2340.html <b><i>Heavy Treasury supply poses challenge</i></b> http://news.ft.com/cms/s/a1a31b48-814a-11da-8b55-0000779e2340.html

You forgot the Post-it note with 'xtrhvydty'. With a handle like that, I'm sure you must need one. I know I would.

zn trader, How do you determine the timeframe over which your volume histogram should be build? Is it by trial and error until you get a smooth (Normal or Poisson) distribution?

He wants you to think that you were particularly smart to notice the URL on top of one of his diagrams; go there; and feel that you're on your way to becoming riiiich. Unfortunately, we've got a lot of those here.

I trade futures options and live south of Chapel Hill.

Or "your" for "you're" as in

So were the two posts you deleted. That's what I'm replying to!

P.S. I am willing to post - what I buy; - how much; - and when. Are you up to the challenge Surdo/Cecco?

So you can't read?: The post you quoted was dated Dec. 24 before my next post dated Dec. 25 where I specifically said that the point to enter a short position was different than the point to liquidate a long position and that THE RIGHT TIME TO ENTER A SHORT POSITION WOULD BE THE FIRST WEEK OF...

I'm waiting for my turn to have fun, when I'll sell in a week or two (as mentioned in my 12-25-05 5:41 PM post).

But you don't have to be a psychologist to derive the assumptions behind mass communication strategies! Also, information derived from entertainment and marketing media is not immediately discounted into prices by the big number crunchers, which gives you an edge.

I don't have much interest for the Consumer Confidence Index but I pay attention to "live" indices you can find in music, movies, commercials and yes, malls also. A simple example of what I mean would be the monster.com commercials: - 6 years ago their commercials were telling you to quit your...

Your comments about inflation and the yield curve are in line with what Greenspan said in his July 20, 2005 testimony -- an important roadmap for bonds: <i>Some, but not all, of the decade-long trend decline in that forward yield can be ascribed to expectations of lower inflation, a reduced...

The medium to long term trend is negative because the Fed's so called neutral stance doesn't necessarily mean that interest rate hikes will soon be over. In the past 35 years, the Fed has always waited for capacity utilization to go down to either start lowering interest rates or to just keep...

Although I think Friday was a good time to liquidate a long position, a good time to open a short position would probably be later in a couple of weeks, sometime during the first week of January ‘06: Jan 3rd (FOMC minutes) or Jan 6th (employment report).