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  1. S

    Crude bounce.....

    Ok. Let me try this: <i>Stocks are too strong for oil to go down</i> but <i>if oil goes down stocks will only get stronger</i>. Does this make sense (because there's no contradiction between what I said and what you said)? I explained the logic I used in this recent...
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    That's exactly what I overlooked and why I underestimated the NASDAQ's strength.
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    I think it is mainly about changes in market sentiments. When stocks got a break earlier this month from declining bond yields, which index led a stock market rally?: It was the (very) interest-rate sensitive Dow Jones. Today, which index is leading the rally?: The growth-sensitive NASDAQ...
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    I was expecting bonds to go down and drag stocks and oil with them but insteadThe NASDAQ is still welcoming and celebrating news and comments about solid growth; Bonds are going down, as expected, but mainly because of the way the long end is incorporating additional inflation worries; Oil and...
  5. S

    Crude bounce.....

    Stocks are too strong for oil to go down.
  6. S

    Bond rally nearing an end?

    I'm a swing/position trader who likes to ride 4-8 week waves (often until option expiration); and for me an opportunity is when two things occur simultanously: 1. My statistical data is telling me that one side has exausted a lot of resources to bring prices where they currently are while the...
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    Well, the problem is that today's drop killed the opportunity I was waiting for. I want to get short but I was expecting bonds to go up first, before going down for 4 to 6 weeks. So right now, there's no good selling or buying opportunity.
  8. S

    Bond rally nearing an end?

    About growth, they said"Although recent economic data have been uneven, the expansion in economic activity appears solid." January 31st, 2006. "The slowing of the growth of real GDP in the fourth quarter of 2005 seems largely to have reflected temporary or special factors. Economic growth...
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    Crude bounce.....

    Oil peaked during the previous two Fed meetings (Dec. and Jan.). Let's see if it does it again after today's Fed meeting.
  10. S

    Trader Myers-Briggs Personality Type

    I think I'm the only one here to be INFP, which might make sense. <font size=1> <b>INFP favored careers:</b> poet, painter, freelance artist, musician, writer, art therapist, teacher (art, music, drama), songwriter, art historian, library assistant, composer, work in the perfoming arts, art...
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    Hilarious! It looks like it doesn't it?
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    The perspective on inflation didn't change between the previous meeting and this one. <b>January 31st, 2006 meeting</b> Core inflation has stayed relatively low in recent months and longer-term inflation expectations remain contained. Nevertheless, possible increases in resource utilization...
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    I didn't understand the Fed Meeting charts right away myself. What I finally figured out is that each chart plots the probability of 4 different outcomes at the end of the meeting specified by the chart title. For example, the <i>May Meeting</i> chart uses a green line to show the fluctuating...
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    I'm on the sideline and waiting to see if we'll get the kind of reassuring comments from the Fed to create a short rally.
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    The Integrity Thread

    and also -- THE LITTLE TRAIN THAT COULD for small portfolios with big percentage returns.
  16. S

    Aliases Etc

    Your post wasn't really about the aliases problem, wasn't it? I can think of much more obvious examples than z10.
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    Food for Thought: WTC Was Designed to Withstand Direct Impact from a 707 (vid)

    And it doesn't matter which picture of flight 175 you look at, there's always that inexplicable bulgy thing: http://letsroll911.org/phpwebsite/index.php?module=announce&ANN_user_op=view&ANN_id=14
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    Food for Thought: WTC Was Designed to Withstand Direct Impact from a 707 (vid)

    And when the boxes were recovered (in the case of the plane that crashed in Pennsylvania for example), the content remained secret.
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    Ben Bernanke Bonds and the greenBack

    Not all important speeches will be posted at www.federalreserve.gov. Speeches made by presidents of regional Federal Reserve Banks are posted at their respective Bank's website.
  20. S

    Bond rally nearing an end?

    I think of trends as quilts. Each week or each wave inside the trend is a patch with it's own story.
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