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If we break 110 29-30, we're in great shape for the day. There's quite a bit of headroom above that without the yield getting too off base.

buy yet? :)

http://energy.seekingalpha.com/article/16920 pretty good article on energy spreads showing perhaps we overshot. opinions?

by the way, guys, great thread: I appreciate your contributions John - good stuff -- just discovered it recently and i have a feeling I am going to learn a lot.

back to oil -- how about long overnight? It seems that 50 cent move down past support didn't end on weakness. Perhaps RM is right and we are at a short term bottom. Hell, NG at 4.82 at one point today didn't even give oil any momentum. 10% down on NG, while a same move in oil would be...

I'd like to see you call a 20 pt drop in BIDU, a 10 pt drop in a sports display screen company, a 2 pt up move in the VIX all in perfect time. Send me your picks -- I'll be glad to give him some credit, because he has some skills. Of course, any trader should be able to analyze and make his...

ordered. so where does the idea of price manipulation around option expiration come from? And what is the erratic activity likely from if not the market makers? (hedge fund premium sellers?) i guess there are times when it costs less to manipulate the price than let your short positions...

RM makes some damn good calls, and they're fascinating to say the least. Thats part of what makes Elite trader such a great place.. Plus his love for meats, hookers, and cheeses probably goes unmatched in the trader world. He's an asset. now back to silver :) I noticed you keep your...

you know whats funny -- remember that mother rock hedge fund that had to shut down because its shorts failed? if they only could have fed their account more cash just to wait it out, look how they would have done... of course, I assume they were shorting the whole strip, not just one month..

any clues why you see silver as bottom now?

I think the selloff is just getting started...

Wonder what RM's thoughts on this are... And I wonder what he meant by 'short term low'.

we might be at a midpoint. this thing might go to 62.5 .. you can take the risk and sell a few at 63.200..

triple bottom right now.. its going down...

you think its too bold to bottom pick this? I bought 1 qg at 4.85 - I know, not too ambitious size... my real money is in my spread -- but this is way below cash prices. In fact, it'll probably push cash lower, but lets see how this does.. We could be back to 5.25 within days, I have no...

the question here is what stocks to short who have unhedged nat gas sales. I know DVN is in this situation, but that recent GOM discovery takes them off my short list. CHK is hedged, isn't it? ...

I'd like to be optimistic about the right things. Hydrogen is not a solution yet - realistically, it takes fossil fuel burning to create it. Net result is the same or worse than burning gasoline directly. Water out the tailpipe, smoke out the chimney.

basically, I never hear the end of info about how MM's manipulate stock prices to make sold options expire worthless. How does this ACTUALLY work? I am also curious how market makers provide liquidity to options as well. If I wanted to buy 1000 OTM calls on a stock that I knew was going to...

by the way, the spread between oct, nov, and dec is 1.60 each month, total 3.20 between oct and dec. I think a test below 4.99 should psych the later months down a bit. any thoughts? I think historical maximum at close between months was something like .60. Great opportunity. i'm long 3...

Looks like we're testing the low right now... This is the crucial point.