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  1. countryBoy641

    Crude Oil Up $4. 2/11/2022. Inflation!

    It wasn't that long ago (1995 - 2000?) everybody was talking about "Peak Oil". The earth was going to run out of oil. Now everybody wants to think the supply is unlimited. Which is it? I think more likely there is a lot more, but its not seeping out of the ground like in the old days. It's in...
  2. countryBoy641

    Invite XOM back to Down Jones?

    Most of the stuff in the U.S. never gets into the papers. But back in 2008, one local government guy in Birmingham Alabama stood up and said "Hold my beer, I can do this". And he was talking about trading derivative contracts on Municipal Bonds. When the dust settled, I think he lost...
  3. countryBoy641

    10 year Treasury note above 2.00%

    It's kind of like an "exploding cigar moment", but it's not funny. We are all going to get singed.
  4. countryBoy641

    Invite XOM back to Down Jones?

    Amen to that. Actually back when this all started (~140-150 years ago), JD Rockefeller was already reviled hardly before he even started People love to prance around "I'm saving whales", but Rockefeller is actually the guy who really did it. He figured out how to refine kerosine from crude oil...
  5. countryBoy641

    Sugar, gonna turn up?

    Apparent Breakaway Gap by CANE. Original lines were correct, and one extra week than earlier anticipated. And it never did get down to $8.71 again. That's a sign of strength.
  6. countryBoy641

    Sector comparison ratios?

    I guess I don't know. Either I don't know what you are trying to find, or I don't have that information. I have a fascination with prices of transactions. And I like to manipulate those. Beyond that, I can't contribute much. Good luck to you.
  7. countryBoy641

    Sector comparison ratios?

    Yes, I think it's a very good idea. Here's a simple chart of Consumer Discretionary vs. Consumer Staples At a much higher level, it pays to keep in mind what the total game board covers. And at inflection points as were are at now, watch the commodities (CRB Index) This charts is 1956 to...
  8. countryBoy641

    AGs - CORN

    CORN ETF closing at new recovery high. Futures contract still lagging. Must have been some injudicious buyers in the FUTs last May.
  9. countryBoy641

    The new class of "bagholders"

    I have been thinking of Cathy Wood and that mindset. How many investors are out there thinking that inflation is dead just because the FED says so. And the U.S. Treasury is upside down in debt. The best thing that could happen to them is 5-10 years of high (but controlled) inflation. Maybe a...
  10. countryBoy641

    The new class of "bagholders"

    Investment Dollars coming out of here: And going into here: Anybody who fights this will become road kill. And eventually the class of "inflation stocks" will broaden out to include Precious Metals.
  11. countryBoy641

    Soybeans to challenge the supply at $22.10

    Sorry there easymon1. I didn't see your response. I'm not much of a "country" guy, in spite of the login thing. That's more from having some acres in my last home, tractors and such. Many years ago, I had an affinity for the country girls, "Roll Tide", literally. Even had a building lot...
  12. countryBoy641

    Story of a reddit Gamestop winner facing reality, lol.

    These young kids probably think they invented this (trading options.) They should get a couple of Jack Schwager's books. It's a whole world of this stuff out there. Just not obvious in Missouri. (I've been told the locals call it Misery)
  13. countryBoy641

    Crude Oil on the Run Again. $100 in Sight!

    Higher rates offer no deterrent for this type of higher inflation. And the horses are already out of the barn. This is stagflation, just like the 1970s but worse. Worse, because the debt is so much bigger (3X) So, there will be no Paul Volker riding into town. He said that before he passed...
  14. countryBoy641

    Crude Oil on the Run Again. $100 in Sight!

    This is the effect that the MSM has on people's Point of View. If Oil is so horrible try living without it for a few months (or even a few days). In spite of the Elec. Vehicle craze, people couldn't do it. Imagine shivering in a cold damp house or apartment 40 degrees all day. You'd either want...
  15. countryBoy641

    Sugar, gonna turn up?

    ESL ->OK How about this one ? That's a new 7 year closing high. But I posted Soybeans right here (6 weeks ago) when it did breakout. So this is repetition. Soybeans to challenge the supply at $22.10 https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/soybeans-to-challenge-the-supply-at-22-10.363605/...
  16. countryBoy641

    Sugar, gonna turn up?

    I say very likely. All the rest are turning up. (although this chart doesn't want to give many secrets).
  17. countryBoy641

    Calculating Rate of Return - not that easy

    Ameritrade tracks both Realized Gains and Losses, and Unrealized Gains and Losses. Although I understand that most people here are scalping or day trading, AMTD also sorts those by holding period, Short Term and Long Term (1 year and a day). Total Rate of Return is shown in the Positions -...
  18. countryBoy641

    Managing book for Family Office or high networth individual, possible?

    I think you may be in for some stiff competition. The big name in management lately has been Cathie Wood. But in the past year, her fondness for innovating companies has put in a very dismal price performance. Her ARKK fund is down 50% trailing 12 months. That will spark account attrition...
  19. countryBoy641

    Soybeans to challenge the supply at $22.10

    the ETF Soyb closed yesterday $24.61. up 11.6 % in less than 6 weeks. The first post in this thread was Dec 19, 2021 I haven't sold anything.
  20. countryBoy641

    Crude six week consolidation - is that finished?

    OK Boss, whatever you say ...
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