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  1. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Things to throw into the mix when comparing execution costs: Ticket charges per spread vs. contracts. Cancel/replace charges for orders. Read that small print. Ability to split your spread order across exchanges to get NBBO on all legs. Negotiability e.g. I've lost count of the...
  2. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Oh, where to start....at Starbucks on PDA - mini-keyboard will make my response briefer than normal... ToS allegedly will attempt to cross-match customer orders before routing elsewhere. If you can find an opposing order on thinkspreads then you might be in luck. The thing to bear in mind...
  3. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    50 day MA or 20 day MA? Either way, should be another exciting month!
  4. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Dude, you realise you can edit your posts after you've sent it out into the ether? It's all like hi-tech and stuff. Superb for revisionist historians like me. I do it all the time, you should see the nonsense I write the first time around.
  5. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Good call :D
  6. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    For anyone interested: Phil seems to never tire of answering the same questions over and over and over and over and over again...is that why this journal is the longest on ET? Hmmm....food for thought. Anyway, I'm not berating anyone for asking this question :) There is no such thing as a...
  7. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Andy, That would be telling :D Actually, I lied. I do have a little QQQQ diagonal left over that has been going since September lol. Last month for it is Jan and rolled into a bear call vert a few days ago. Other than that and some other minor positions, I'm pretty flat. I don't want...
  8. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    I have no idea either. I've learnt it's best to ignore most of what I say! Basically, with options closer to exp. they become more sensitive to theta/gamma as we all know. Further out and vega is more dominant. So, if you are holding only for the first 30 days, you haven't given it a chance for...
  9. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Ok, got it. You'd be rolling into the synthetic call for less than fair value of the real call (ES option) at the time. Not sure how you're going to deal with the differences between ES and SPX cash to make this work though.... Momoney.
  10. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Yes but can you go twice as far OTM? When you're that far out (in time), I would suggest it's more of a vega play. VIX is now 10.18! It is likely you will be hurt by vega even ignoring delta. Are you planning on holding for only 30 days? In which case the positions will not gain much from...
  11. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Just curious, why would you consider the synthetic over the natural unless prices were significantly different? You have two transaction costs in the synthetic call you cited for example. I could certainly see converting an existing position into a synthetic based on what market conditions...
  12. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Just a general comment: I think each person has his/her own style/approach and one can make things as complicated or as simple as desired. However, one thing is for certain: more complicated does not mean more profitable. Basing strike selection on implied future market distribution...
  13. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    I know, I was thinking of you when I wrote that LOL...but didn't name you in case I got my head bitten off. Btw, good job. Momoney.
  14. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    LMAO. Nicely put. When is a hedge not a hedge? When it makes more money than what it's hedging, in which case, what it's hedging is actually the hedge for your hedge. [EDIT] Another pointless post from Momoney, enjoy :)
  15. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    I'm genuinely sorry to hear that. Did they start out as close to the money spreads? This is a big difference. I think position sizing is also key with NTM/ATM spreads and having as little time as possible to be wrong when you are short curvature/gamma - in this instance 3 days. Hope you are...
  16. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    IMHO, That's not as ridiculous as it sounds. I personally wouldn't take it because it doesn't fit my entry criteria. However, because it is NTM, if the index moves against it, it won't lose money as quickly as you might think. Theta is around 18 and Delta is 19 for this spread. It's...
  17. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    I'm sure there is more fun to come for the week or even last hour of the day - that's about as close to a prediction as you'll ever get from me lol. I'm still long delta/short vega on XEO so today's movement SO FAR is quite appreciated. Momoney.
  18. M

    Cash & Carry (Standard)

    Doh! Have no idea what I was thinking. It was early in the morning :eek: OK. Will try and see how this works. OK. Noted. Before I go off and research, can you recommend any good sources for historical FX data? Got it. Yes but I'm lazy to even fill in a spreadsheet. Always...
  19. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Unfortunately, I have found this method to be fairly inaccurate for SPX options on the Thursday before exp. though that was a while ago and can't remember the details. So as to get a more accurate picture, might be worth purchasing actual historical option price data e.g. from here...
  20. M

    Cash & Carry (Standard)

    ElectricSavant, Thank you for the generous contributions. I am extremely intrigued. You seem to want to keep the thread on-topic for teaching beginners with this concept. So! As someone who knows absolutely nothing about FX, allow me to ask some completely newbie questions that might serve...
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