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That is a great illustration of how markets are markets even though it's 70 whatever years later. And, as I pointed out, look at the recent oil chart. That's what makes trading interesting, eh?

I agree in the sense that I don't see disaster unless there's 1) a derivative meltdown, 2) a major terrorist attack or 3) more banking institituions fail that they anticipated. Both are unlikely in my (completely layman's) opinion. I see #2 as much more likely but don't believe it will happen...

Oh, and the cost of polysilicon is falling like a rock thx to the global economy all the while solar corporate earnings are booming: http://seekingalpha.com/article/103878-four-reasons-to-expect-a-solar-boom?source=front_page_most_popular_articles I'm hearing the sound of rain...

And, guys, I would argue that this is the real "nuclear" issue facing the economy. Somebody can tell me if this is old news, but I don't think they've done this recapitalization. I mean - where are they going to get the $$...

Btw, I'm assuming it did not escape everyone's eagle eye the MASSIVE rate cut of the Bank of England and the large cut of the ECB. If you didn't believe in the possibility of deflation before those announcements, you've probably reconsidered, eh?

Yeah, my only hope is to outtrade them before they outtax me. It's kind of like a guy in canoe with a leak at the bottom and a 20 oz drink cup in his hand...

Guns and gold, baby...

Again, I've read the theory that the Chinese will jump all over this, let the dollar devaluate somewhat - not totally as you said - in order to become the biggest economy on planet earth. Some say they can literally make themselves #1 almost overnight and that they would be foolish not to do...

Here's a purty picture of what happened to oil: http://seekingalpha.com/article/101220-oil-chart-with-fibonacci-retracements Demand broke the Saudi's back and demand can break the back of the US government. I don't know about you, but it brings a tear to my eye thinking of all those folks...

Sobering article. Fortune is putting deflation in the headlines for those int'd: http://money.cnn.com/2008/11/06/news/deflation.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2008110614

Oh, and if that isn't enough, on p. 74 they talk about a company named Aptera has created a vehicle with a drag coefficient about half of a Prius. They have a lighter test vehicle that is just 1,500 lbs and gets 300 mpg! Yes, you read that right. My friends, that is better a better gift for...

For anyone interested, there's a great summary article in Nov's Popular Mechanics on p. 63. It covers thin film solar, of course, and a new technology at Sandia Labs that has 82 mirrors that focus an incredibly hot beam that will melt anlmost anything known to man. It is much, much hotter for...

Very true. I definitely didn't mean short term...

I'm not sure what your point is: nobody is saying it's ready for market yet. I'd still lay odds that they'll come up with a viable thin film solar in the next ten years. In fact, thin film solar is an excellent argument against what you are saying. Look at the first diagram in this link and...

I live in a sunny state and I know someone with solar with about a ten year pay back if I remember right. It's happening right now...

It looks like potentially there is a huge break through in solar power at RTI: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/11/081103130924.htm They have come up with a coating that increases absorption through all angles. Between this and thin film solar, do you think the Middle East is...

The (funny) money has to go somewhere. With low interest rates, it's going to have a tendency to go into real estate...

I agree it can't last forever as you can see from above. But it can last for a very long time a la 90's. And, again, the 90's was not inflation in the traditional sense...

Don't even try! Imagine trying to predict the price of oil in the last year or so. Talk about an unimaginable bubble. It's nothing but pure market madness. There's no one who can predict stuff like that. Even if they did, they'd be wrong about the next major market event! And nowadays...

I would argue that that is becomingly increasingly difficult to predict. Think about this: they pumped so much into the system that we had an almost unbroken bull market throughout the 90's. Of course, there was hell to pay later first in 2000 and now with the Subprime Crisis. But the bottom...