Search results

  1. P

    Why the big bounce today?

    not to be facetious, but i remember one of the old adages being (to paraphrase), the market will trade in a way as to f*** over the most amt of ppl the most number of times it's like a college class where 1-2% get As, 3-4% get Bs, 95% get Cs-Fs - perhaps because the 1-2% include funds like Jim...
  2. P

    How they gonna intervene in the Yen?

    lol i guess we got our answer today that smash was insane, even more impressive given it was past 11pm Tokyo time, so they must be working late wonder how many trend following/ quant funds got caught, especially those with longer time horizons
  3. P

    How they gonna intervene in the Yen?

    so in recent days the BoJ said they would intervene in the yen as it's becoming too weak, with all "options" on the table & then JP morgan earlier today said USDJPY could trade up to 155 (up from their own target of 150 a couple weeks ago) given the strong bullish trend for USDJPY, which makes...
  4. P

    If most ppl lose when they try to win $$, what happens when they "try" to lose $?

    uhh...considering this thread made it to the top 3 most viewed this week, i'd say it's beyond expectations :thumbsup:
  5. P

    If most ppl lose when they try to win $$, what happens when they "try" to lose $?

    i think what got me thinking about the question in the first place was watching that movie on the plane (the parasite) - had been curious to see what the hype was after it won those awards a few years ago the plot veered a bit into the stuff of hyperbole (perhaps intentionally) but overall the...
  6. P

    If most ppl lose when they try to win $$, what happens when they "try" to lose $?

    that's some very cool & detailed stats you found with back-of-envelope calculations on the above, eg. 11% winners: 0.11 x 4.57 million = 502,700 winning traders in the mix total net profit = 502,700 x US$2000 = US$1,005,400,000 just over a billion US dollars net within the top 1%, since they...
  7. P

    If most ppl lose when they try to win $$, what happens when they "try" to lose $?

    ok, so the thought experiment came to me over the weekend, thinking about VC investments (those who burn cash fastest try to earn it back on "market valuations") and reverse psychology and the Parasite movie which i'd watched on the plane (the one from 2019 which won best picture, i can see how...
  8. P

    Gimme some SUGAR

    you the easymon, you tell me the EZ ways :p lol jokes aside everyone has their own approach but i prefer analyzing the market before thinking about how to structure a trade (versus some guys who try to force a trade/ their preset "trade template" on their market, if that makes sense) eg. value...
  9. P

    Gimme some SUGAR

    yes i thought about NG but there were a couple issues - many brokers don't allow that much leverage on NG futures for some reason, it'd be like trading a stock unleveraged - the nat gas market (and crude oil to some extent) always seems a bit perverse, in the sense that now that it's making...
  10. P

    Gimme some SUGAR

    https://www.barchart.com/story/news/15480902/can-sugars-sweet-bullish-trend-continue any niche markets out there ripe for some gains?
  11. P

    Gimme some SUGAR

    so…as a follow up post just cos Bloomberg’s front page today has a story on sugar futures at multi year highs right now: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-30/sugar-getting-even-pricier-poses-new-threat-to-food-inflation#xj4y7vzkg going back to the time when i made original post on...
  12. P

    a theory about good vs. bad traders

    point taken, though i still think there's a difference between 'arrogance' and pretentiousness as in someone can seem arrogant to others, but actually have the skills to back it up vs. pretentiousness would be when behind they mimic the real deal in superficial ways without having the real...
  13. P

    a theory about good vs. bad traders

    along those lines i always thought trading should be an olympic/ esports event have each country send a team, eg. 4-5 of their top traders and have them trade sessions throughout the summer televised in front of a world audience my predicted rankings would be, #1 - US, bc the team would prob...
  14. P

    a theory about good vs. bad traders

    sure, everyone has a "system," even those playing negative edge slot machines if anything, the past couple years showed just how unsophisticated some of the "sophisticated" players actually were not a complete surprise for anyone who's had interactions with them and saw through the bs - not...
  15. P

    How do y'all stay on top of everything, all the time? 2022 edition

    lol not sure about the other vitamins but i'm definitely a fan of vitamin C myself too
  16. P

    How do y'all stay on top of everything, all the time? 2022 edition

    bloomberg FT tweetdeck with the usual roster & flavor/theme of the day accounts cnbc infotertainment dailymail for general pop culture/ sentiment measuring whatsapp latest publications crypto discord what colleagues, acquaintances old and new, random ppl are up to even the price of grass-fed...
  17. P

    Any insights on Irish real estate? (Dublin)

    point taken, i was just kinda surprised by how low their price per square meter is right now, and was wondering if there was more to the story that the locals/ europeans knew but then who knows, maybe a good deal is a good deal about 10 years ago, the guy i worked for at the time bought a unit...
  18. P

    Any insights on Irish real estate? (Dublin)

    it started (as with many things) with an ad i was curious enough to click into it, and was pleasantly surprised that the Dublin real estate market still seems reasonably priced, especially in US dollar terms now that the euro has reduced in value considerably so based on cursory analysis, it...
  19. P

    Brokers, 98th percentile customer cagr?

    ok..the premise notwithstanding, i would imagine if by institutional you mean >$100 million OPM/ other people's money, the return distribution for that group is probably much different from the retail side, where you just have to look at reddit wsb or crypto tiktok/discord to see how there's no...
  20. P

    What to do while profits roll in?

    good stuff, thanks man
Back
Top