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My only contribution: See Shannon's Demon and Kelly Criterion for bets

options (rainbow, asian, CMS), TRS, OTC bets, etc Where did you get those numbers?

probably doesn't hurt to have the old boss at the Treasury

RE, precious metals, agriculture, small private businesses (llc or lp), patents/IP, etc.... Your suggestions? EDIT: Stocks, bonds, bank accounts (these are more exposed to inflation, though)

I used dearborn/kaplan a few years ago and passed with an 87%

options on fed funds futures were pricing a 52%/45% chance of a .25/.50 cut.

and piss away the rest?

I agree...swing trading has worked well for me

Thanks for posting...it's interesting to watch the 2 pm activity

http://www.google.com/search?source=ig&hl=en&rlz=&q=%22the+profitability+of+technical+analysis%22+filetype%3Apdf See the first two hits

FXI

1. One Guy only makes $$ in a down market 2. Other Guy makes $$ in a flat/volatile market They can both track the upside relatively close to the SP500 Who would you hire or invest in?

I'm curious to know which books you read...

This place is hilarious.

Thanks! I would have never known about insider trading.

http://www.stock-market-seminars.com/downloads/reminiscences-of-jesse-livermore.pdf

1. You have capital that you 'can't' afford to lose, i.e. the machine made of money 2. You have p&l 3. You have mortgage pmt, credit card, student loan, food, etc 9-5r's also have something they can't afford to lose: jobs, but unlike a trader they can't (usually not) borrow against...

Add to that the 1031 exchanges and the subsequent inclusion of DSTs and TICs as eligible exchange 'vehicles' (even though they are securities).

http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/policy/fedfunds/Index.cfm Click on the second one to see what the market probability is for each rate cut. There's a slight chance of 75bps:eek:

Options Market Making by Baird... If you don't have time to read the book, then I also suggest CME.