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My time frame was 6 to 18 months and I used a weekly measurement and special entry techniques. Even then stealth and misdirection was the name of the game. I've never heard of regime shifting - sorry. My methodology was much more basic - money flow and sector.

I used to use something similar up until about 2003 or so ( among other methods) when it ceased to work as effectively. I dumped it and moved on. I suspect today that the volatility chop of the HFT and quant bots will chew up your results since it is harder to detect and stay in real sector...

That wasn't the the Madoff leveraged prison futures fund?

News today is that Pope Benedict is going to resign because of health issues. The prophecy of the popes says we get one more pope. Is Rome doomed from more than a financial crisis?

Another question one might ask is: how many multi-millionaires have academic credentials? That is, running down the list of the world's wealthiest, how far down the list do you go to find a bunch of people who turned a brilliant academic career into real wealth based on their knowledge of...

Like all victims, if one gives away the responsibility for who one is, along with it one gives away the power to change things. And that is what life is - change. Better to keep your power and become who you really want to be.

Hey! Let's not be trashing donkeys here! Economists yes, Government yes, Donkeys No!

Credit comes from latin Root: Credere - To Believe One needs to believe or trust since there is really nothing tangible there. Just a repayment promise to believe in and the legal power to seize assets (for those who don't trust quite enough.) Without a legal system, there is no monetary...

I believe it was pushed through during the holiday season after promising that it would not be voted on. A betrayal. Such is politics. The purpose of income taxes was that the interest needed to be paid and the government needed more revenue than tariffs provided. It was also a foot in the...

In fact, it is my understanding that every US assassinated president was associated with policies changing the monetary policy against private banking interests. You need to do your own research to verify this. The biggest issue is that history is written by the winners and the citizens are...

When you say that the FED "gives" 1T to the government, did you mean that the FED issued debt to someone who gave them cash to give to the government OR that they created it out of thin air and the government forced everybody to use it as "legal tender" (almost like real money) at the pain of...

I am not behind the scenes but I think that "they" are unlikely to tell you the truth. I have read about HFT moving off the commodities and stock/bond markets to options just in the past 18 months or so. There has been a qualitative difference in my view based on my years of experience...

Shouldn't it be something more like QE-5..............6.......7.....8..9101115 etc. ?

A really unbelievable (BS) scenario is now setting up. It shows the entire governing sham I believe. I got back from travelling to read that the US will hit the fiscal debt limit EXACTLY on Dec 31 after reading loads of projections of late Feb early March as the real date. Apparently, it's...

Ha ha. Great picture. Nice hat.

I think that the deal has been already made. If there was no quick solution immediately after the election, both sides will then posture and dance as they go over the cliff hand-in-hand. The real battle now is to see who gets tagged with the "forced" cutbacks and tax increases. It seems to...

How does one play the Dec 21 end-of-the-world event. My initial thought was of a calendar spread (for obvious reasons). Initially I thought of going all-in on Dec SPY puts but there is a technical issue because it is an options expiry date. The Mayans didn't specify a time as far as I know...

Isn't that exactly what the FED wants for their investing?

A few suggestions if you are using windows. Use command netstat -an in a command window on working and non working locations and compare the lists. Perhaps a port or protocol is being blocked. (type in netstat ? for help if you are not familiar with its usage already) Another suggestion is...

I used to love playing chess. I started as a wood-pusher playing against my dad who taught me to play. In university first year I began playing at "international house" with some of the country's best. They were patient and taught me a lot and I studied on my own. Playing the best and a drive...